Larry Johnson: Iran Missiles Rain Down on Northern Israel – Massive Strikes!
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Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖Israel's attack on an empty building in Beirut was a deliberate attempt by Netanyahu to provoke Iran and derail a US-Iran peace deal.
- ❖Iran has adopted a new strategic doctrine, vowing direct and geographically unbound retaliation for attacks on any 'resistance axis' component (Lebanese, Palestinians).
- ❖Donald Trump reportedly refused to back Israeli retaliation against Iran, leaving Israel isolated in the escalating conflict.
- ❖US military presence in the Gulf is diminishing, with Saudi Arabia and Qatar reportedly planning to expel US forces and join a new Pakistan-led security alliance backed by China and Russia.
- ❖The post-WWII international order, including financial systems like Bretton Woods and SWIFT, is crumbling as new geopolitical and economic blocs emerge.
Bottom Line
Israel's deliberate strike on an 'empty building' in Beirut was a calculated move by Netanyahu to sabotage the 'Islamabad Accords' – a US-Iran peace deal mediated by Pakistan.
This suggests Israel is actively working against US diplomatic efforts to de-escalate with Iran, prioritizing its own perceived security interests over broader regional stability and US foreign policy goals.
For analysts, this highlights the internal conflicts within the US-Israel relationship and the potential for rogue actions by allies to complicate superpower diplomacy. For regional powers, it underscores the fragility of US commitments.
Iran has declared a 'new strategic doctrine' where attacks on any component of the 'resistance axis' (e.g., Lebanese, Palestinians) will trigger a response extending beyond geographical boundaries and reshaping regional equations.
This marks a fundamental shift in Iran's military posture, indicating a more direct, preemptive, and expansive retaliatory policy, moving away from proxy warfare to direct engagement.
This creates a new risk landscape for Israel and its allies, as localized conflicts could rapidly escalate to direct confrontations with Iran. It also offers a new framework for understanding Iran's future military responses and deterrence strategy.
Saudi Arabia and Qatar are reportedly making decisions to move away from reliance on the United States, planning to tell the US to 'get out' of their bases and instead align with a new strategic partnership led by Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, and Iran, backed by China and Russia.
This signifies a profound re-alignment in the Middle East, ending decades of US military dominance and creating a new, powerful regional security architecture that explicitly excludes the United States.
Businesses and governments should re-evaluate their strategic investments and diplomatic engagements in the region, recognizing the diminishing influence of the US and the rising power of this new bloc. It also opens opportunities for China and Russia to expand their geopolitical and economic footprint.
Lessons
- Monitor Iran's military responses and official statements for further indications of their new 'strategic doctrine' and its practical application.
- Assess the implications of diminishing US military presence in the Gulf and the formation of a new regional security alliance for global energy markets and maritime security.
- Analyze the internal dynamics within the US-Israel relationship, particularly how Israeli actions may diverge from or actively undermine US diplomatic initiatives.
Quotes
"Iran's intervention in support of Lebanon constitutes a formal declaration of a new strategic doctrine under which attacks on any component of the resistant axis will trigger a response that extends beyond geographic boundaries and reshapes regional equations."
"This is a new policy. This is something that Iran has not done in 47 years. And it is now tying its own security to that of the Lebanese people and of the Palestinians. So this is, uh, they, you know, I see it as, you know, really a declaration of war against Israel."
"Being an enemy of the United States is dangerous. Being a friend of the United States is lethal."
"This whole structure that the United States has been heading and controlling, it's coming apart at the seams."
Q&A
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