Col. Larry Wilkerson: Blazing Alarms, Collapsing Alliances — America’s Foreign Policy Just Backfired
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖US foreign policy towards Iran is incoherent, appearing as 'children playing around' rather than a clear strategy.
- ❖Netanyahu is determined to attack Iran significantly, aiming for regime change and making Iran a 'vassal state' to Israel.
- ❖Donald Trump, despite his rhetoric, likely does not desire war with Iran but is influenced by 'money influencers' tied to Netanyahu.
- ❖US media is largely compromised, either acting as government proponents or being out of touch due to a lack of international correspondents.
- ❖Iran is arguably the most stable country in the Middle East, possessing democratic elements, contrary to Western media portrayals.
- ❖The US is pursuing a 'Hobbesian world' strategy, actively creating chaos and dismantling alliances (e.g., through actions regarding Greenland) to maintain its top position.
- ❖The presence of nuclear weapons fundamentally alters historical imperial dynamics, making the current US strategy exceptionally dangerous.
- ❖The simultaneous threats of nuclear weapons and the climate crisis demand global collaboration, directly opposing the US strategy of fostering chaos.
Insights
1Netanyahu's Driving Force Behind Iran Conflict
Colonel Wilkerson asserts that Benjamin Netanyahu is the primary instigator for a significant attack on Iran, aiming for regime change and reducing Iran to a 'vassal state' of Israel. He believes Netanyahu views Iran as the sole remaining obstacle to Israel's regional dominance. Wilkerson suggests that Donald Trump, despite his actions, is not inherently seeking war with Iran but is heavily influenced by financial contributions from Zionist billionaires, effectively making him a 'tool' for Netanyahu's agenda.
Wilkerson states, 'BB will not rest until he has attacked Iran in a significant way... and made Iran a vassal state to Israel.' He adds, 'I don't think Trump really wants a war with Iran. I think much of his action is programmed by Miriam Adelson's money and BB Netanyahu as a consequence.'
2US Media's Failure and Public Misinformation
The US media is described as 'lost,' either uncritically promoting government narratives or being out of touch with international realities due to a lack of on-the-ground reporting. This results in the American public being 'in the dark' and misinformed about situations like Iran, which is portrayed as 'reeling' and 'pulverized' when, in reality, it is the most stable country in the region with functioning democratic elements.
Nema states, 'The reality of what's going on in Iran and what you see in the mainstream media outside of Iran. They're not even comparable.' Wilkerson responds, 'Our media is lost... they no longer have international sections, they no longer have people on the ground.'
3The 'Hobbesian World' Strategy and Alliance Dismantling
The US is deliberately pursuing a 'Hobbesian world' strategy, aiming to create global chaos and then sit atop it. This involves actively dismantling alliances, such as NATO, which Wilkerson illustrates with Trump's interest in acquiring Greenland. This strategy prioritizes increasing US power and decreasing the power of potential enemies or even allies, rather than fostering cooperation.
Wilkerson describes the 2002 national security strategy as aiming to 'create a Hobbesian world and sitting at top it.' He later states, 'You want to get rid of the NATO alliance? Ukraine hasn't quite done it well enough yet. Let's do Greenland. That gets rid of the NATO alliance.'
4Syria's Destabilization as a Precursor to Israeli Expansion
The removal of strong leadership in Syria (like Assad) without a robust post-removal plan has led to extreme destabilization, creating a dangerous vacuum. Wilkerson suggests that Netanyahu might be exploiting this chaos, potentially even fostering it, to portray Syria as a dangerous threat, thereby justifying Israeli land incursions into Syria and further expanding Israeli territory.
Wilkerson states, 'If Assad's... hand were taken off Syria, we would regret it.' He later adds, 'There's no question in my mind that if it came to a situation where he could portray Syria as a dangerous threat, he'd be in Damascus and tanks would be with him.'
Bottom Line
The existence of nuclear weapons fundamentally invalidates historical imperial precedents, making any 'Hobbesian world' strategy exceptionally dangerous and prone to catastrophic escalation.
Traditional geopolitical power plays and empire-building models are obsolete in a nuclear age. The pursuit of dominance through chaos risks global annihilation, a factor absent in previous historical comparisons.
Policymakers must recognize that nuclear weapons demand a paradigm shift towards collaboration and de-escalation, rather than aggressive competition. This creates an opportunity for new diplomatic frameworks focused on existential risk mitigation.
The simultaneous crises of nuclear proliferation and climate change create a unique and unprecedented global dilemma, where the need for collaboration directly conflicts with a dominant power's strategy of fostering chaos.
Humanity faces a 'hell of a time to be alive' as these two existential threats demand opposite responses from global powers. The current geopolitical trajectory is actively undermining the collective action needed for survival.
Advocates for global cooperation can frame climate action and nuclear disarmament as intertwined survival imperatives, highlighting how 'Hobbesian' policies exacerbate both. This could mobilize a broader coalition for systemic change.
Key Concepts
Hobbesian World
A geopolitical strategy where a dominant power (the US) actively creates a state of chaos and competition among other nations, then positions itself at the top of this disorder. This involves dismantling traditional alliances and weakening potential rivals to ensure singular global supremacy, rather than pursuing cooperation or collaboration. The guest attributes this strategy to US foreign policy since the end of the Cold War, particularly under Donald Trump.
Lessons
- Critically evaluate mainstream media narratives regarding international conflicts, especially those involving US foreign policy, and seek out alternative, on-the-ground reporting.
- Recognize that stated foreign policy objectives may mask deeper, financially or ideologically driven agendas, particularly concerning US-Israel relations and Middle East conflicts.
- Understand that the dismantling of international alliances and the creation of global instability might be a deliberate strategy rather than incompetence, and consider its long-term implications for global security.
Quotes
"I don't know how to read these signals. Uh, are we just posturing in preparation for more dialogue or are we putting dialogue aside completely or are we doing both and using the dialogue as we did before to lull the Iranians into thinking something positive is going to happen other than more and then we're going to strike?"
"BB will not rest until he has attacked Iran in a significant way. and brought about in his mind regime change um and made Iran a vassal state to Israel because it's the only real power if you discount Turkey and you discount the other Arab countries..."
"Our media is lost in in the United States. Our media is lost. It is either a wholesale proponent and doesn't even know it in some cases of the government and shields its line like it was a grifter itself or it's completely out of touch..."
"Iran's the most stable country in the region. It is the most stable country in the region and I include the Gulf States in that. It Iran is uh as much a democracy too as the United States is."
"Whatever you can do to increase your own power is good. Whatever you can do to decrease your potential enemies or even your allies power think economics there is good and whatever you do to make your potential enemies power greater is bad."
"None of those empires, continental, maritime, or a combination of the two, had nuclear weapons. None of them. We do. And if you want to say China is building an empire, they do. And Russia has an empire... It does also. There are nuclear weapons in the world is my point. That changes everything."
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