Bulwark Takes
Bulwark Takes
May 18, 2026

Trump Keeps Going to the Doctor. Nobody's Allowed to Ask Why. (w/ Bill Kristol) | Bulwark Podcast

YouTube · ORdYYymXVKA

Quick Read

Bill Kristol and Tim Miller dissect Donald Trump's declining poll numbers, his perceived foreign policy weakness regarding Iran and China, and growing concerns about his health and alleged corruption, arguing these issues could significantly impact upcoming elections.
Trump's approval ratings are consistently low (37%), signaling potential trouble for Republicans in upcoming elections.
His foreign policy is characterized by bluster and perceived weakness, particularly with Iran and China, undermining US global standing.
Allegations of insider trading and health concerns add to a narrative of corruption and physical decline, which Democrats should leverage.

Summary

Tim Miller and Bill Kristol discuss the current political landscape, focusing on Donald Trump's challenges. They highlight Trump's consistently low approval ratings (37% in recent polls) and the Republican Party's unwavering loyalty to him, even at the cost of candidates like Bill Cassidy. The conversation shifts to foreign policy, where Trump is criticized for bluster without action on Iran and for displaying weakness during the China summit, particularly regarding Taiwan. Kristol notes a significant shift in global dynamics, with Europe stepping up aid to Ukraine while the US under Trump appears less reliable. Domestically, Trump faces scrutiny over alleged insider trading and a proposed 'slush fund' for allies. Concerns about Trump's physical health, including unexplained doctor visits and visible deterioration, are also raised. The hosts conclude by discussing Democratic campaign strategy, emphasizing the need to focus on Trump's weaknesses and future-oriented issues like AI, rather than internal party squabbles.
This analysis provides a critical perspective on the vulnerabilities of Donald Trump's political standing and foreign policy approach. Understanding these weaknesses, coupled with insights into the Republican Party's current dynamics and potential Democratic strategies, is crucial for anyone tracking the trajectory of American politics and its global implications. The discussion highlights how perceived presidential weakness and corruption can erode international trust and domestic stability, shaping future electoral outcomes and policy directions.

Takeaways

  • Trump's approval ratings are consistently low, with a clear downward trend in recent months.
  • The Republican Party's absolute loyalty to Trump is seen as a liability, making it difficult for candidates to distance themselves.
  • Trump's foreign policy on Iran is characterized by threats without follow-through, leading to perceptions of weakness.
  • The China summit demonstrated Trump's obsequious treatment of Xi and a lack of significant concessions for the US.
  • Ukraine's increased aggression against Russia is partly attributed to reduced US oversight and increased European support.
  • Allegations of Trump engaging in insider trading with tech stocks while in office highlight significant ethical concerns.
  • Concerns about Trump's physical health, including multiple unexplained doctor visits and visible signs of deterioration, are becoming more prominent.

Insights

1Trump's Approval Ratings Show a Consistent Downward Trend

Recent polls from CNN, New York Times, and CBS show Trump's approval at 37% and disapproval at 59-63%. This represents a steady decline of about one point per month since January, following a period of stability in late 2025. This trend is considered 'very bad' for the midterms, especially given the Republican Party's close ties to Trump.

CNN/NYT poll: 37% approved, 59% disapproved. CBS poll: 37% approved, 63% disapproved. CBS poll showed a 1-point decline in approval and 1-point increase in disapproval each month in 2026.

2Republican Party's Unwavering Loyalty to Trump is a Liability

Lindsey Graham's statement, 'If you try to destroy President Trump, you're going to lose because this is the party of Donald Trump,' encapsulates the party's current state. The hosts cite Bill Cassidy's loss in a Louisiana primary, despite his later attempts to align with Trump, as evidence that even past dissent is punished. This deep alignment means Trump's low approval directly impacts the party's electoral prospects.

Lindsey Graham's quote on Bill Cassidy's loss. Bill Cassidy, a Republican senator who voted to impeach Trump, lost his primary despite later 'sucking up' to Trump.

3Trump's Iran Policy: Bluster Without Action Leads to Perceived Weakness

Trump has repeatedly issued threats to 'obliterate' Iran if they don't 'fold,' but has consistently failed to act when Iran does not comply. This pattern of escalating rhetoric followed by inaction is seen as 'extremely humiliating and weak,' reminiscent of Obama's 'red line' in Syria but on a larger scale. This undermines US credibility on the world stage.

Trump's repeated 'bleets' threatening Iran with obliteration if they don't fold, followed by no action. General Jack Keane's comment on Fox about returning to full throttle combat operations suggests internal pressure for action.

4China Summit Exposes Trump's Weakness and China's Ascendance

The recent China summit ended with a 'whimper,' yielding no significant concessions from China on issues like Iran or Taiwan. Trump offered 'over-the-top praise' to Chairman Xi, while China remained firm and even sent oil tankers from Iran during the summit as a signal. Trump's public consideration of reversing a $14 billion arms deal for Taiwan further signaled US weakness and emboldened China.

Lack of progress on Iran and Taiwan at the China summit. Trump's 'obsequious' praise for Xi. China's firm stance on Taiwan and the dispatch of oil tankers from Iran during the summit. Trump publicly considering reversing a $14 billion arms deal for Taiwan.

5Trump's Alleged Insider Trading Raises Serious Ethical Questions

Trump reported hundreds of millions of dollars in financial transactions, including buying shares of Nvidia, Dell, and Intel, just weeks or days before making public statements or policy decisions that could benefit those companies. This behavior, which appears to be insider trading, is a 'total outrage' given that lower-level government employees are required to divest from similar holdings.

Trump's account bought Nvidia shares a week before the Commerce Department approved chip sales to China. He bought Dell and Intel shares weeks before touting them on Truth Social. Total transactions valued between $220 million and $750 million.

6Growing Concerns Over Trump's Physical and Mental Health

Reports indicate Trump has made three unexplained dentist visits this year, had an MRI he didn't seem to understand, repeatedly brags about 'acing cognitive tests' (raising questions about why he takes so many), has visibly swollen ankles, keeps a light public schedule, and has appeared to fall asleep during White House events. These signs, combined with visible bruises on his hands and neck, point to a 'visibly deteriorating president' at a time of international crisis.

Three dentist visits without explanation, MRI without clear purpose, repeated cognitive tests, swollen ankles, light public schedule, falling asleep during events, bruises on hands and neck.

Lessons

  • Democrats should maintain focus on Donald Trump's perceived weaknesses, including his foreign policy failures, alleged corruption, and health concerns, to make the upcoming midterm elections a referendum on him.
  • Democrats should propose and push legislation to ban stock trading by the President and members of Congress, forcing Trump to veto such bills and highlighting the issue of corruption.
  • Democratic challengers should publicly commit to placing their assets in blind trusts or index funds to contrast with Trump's alleged insider trading and highlight ethical governance.

Quotes

"

"If you try to destroy President Trump, you're going to lose because this is the party of Donald Trump and that in itself may be the problem."

Lindsey Graham (quoted by Tim Miller)
"

"Obama would be mercilessly mocked as humiliating and weak by the right-wing media infrastructure. And that hasn't really been happening on the left."

Tim Miller
"

"It is just a total outrage that like simultaneously you're making middle manager government servants divest from their small little nest egg stock investments while the president is doing you know $500 million in what looks like insider trading deals with big tech giants."

Tim Miller
"

"He is ultimately a weak person. I mean that is actually true statement, right?"

Bill Kristol

Q&A

Recent Questions

Related Episodes