"Israel Is DESPISED!" Trump's US-Iran Deal Threatened By Hezbollah Strikes

Ian Bremmer argues that the new US-Iran deal is 'at best the same as the Obama deal' and potentially worse. Unlike the Obama agreement, which had multiple international signatories providing leverage, this deal is unilateral, making it easier for Iran to disregard its terms. The lack of transparency (unsigned text) and the focus on secondary figures like J.D. Vance instead of Trump himself suggest a lack of pride in the outcome.

Bremmer states, 'The original Obama deal was a deal that had many signatories... This is a deal by the United States by itself.' He notes the absence of the deal's text and the focus on J.D. Vance by Lindsey Graham instead of Trump. (00:02:48)

Jeffrey Sachs and Piers Morgan suggest that Benjamin Netanyahu and Mossad heavily influenced Trump's initial strategy to 'decapitate' the Iranian regime, which failed. Now, Israel is expected to do 'everything possible to undermine' the current agreement, potentially through continued Hezbollah strikes from Lebanon. Direct Israeli strikes against Beirut or Iran itself would escalate the conflict significantly, potentially leading to direct Iran-Israel warfare.

Piers Morgan states, 'Benjamin Netanyahu sat in the White House situation room... and they painted a picture to President Trump, 'If you decapitate the head of this regime, the whole thing collapses.'' Jeffrey Sachs adds, 'Israel will do everything possible to undermine this agreement. It already has started with new attacks in southern Lebanon.' (00:04:21, 00:23:57)

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is not immediate or guaranteed. Robert Pape highlights that shippers, who have suffered significant losses, demand 'ironclad promises from Iran' for their safety, not just from the US. He predicts that oil inventories will run dry within 60 days, increasing Iran's leverage significantly as global demand rises, making further disruptions catastrophic.

Robert Pape states, 'We're heading into an incredibly contentious 60 days... The biggest issue... is the stakeholder of the shippers... They want an ironclad promise from Iran, not Donald Trump.' He adds, 'By the time the 60 days are up, all those cushions are at zero... Iran's leverage will grow.' (00:35:20, 00:37:34)

Ian Bremmer and Jeffrey Sachs agree that the war has significantly weakened America's global standing. Allies view the US as unpredictable and unreliable, causing massive economic damage worldwide. This shift accelerates the end of the US as the 'unchallenged dominant power,' paving the way for a multipolar world where countries like China and Russia exert greater influence, particularly in the Middle East.

Bremmer notes, 'Allies of the United States around the world look at America and say, 'You're very unpredictable. You've just caused massive damage to our economies. You're unreliable.'' Sachs concludes, 'The days of the US being the unchallenged dominant power... This war has accelerated the end of that idea as well.' (00:13:16, 00:28:34)