Trump GOES NUTS as His TERM CRASHES | It's Complicated
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖Trump's tweets threatening to 'destroy an entire civilization' and target Iranian power plants/bridges are legally analyzed as potential war crimes, specifically genocide and targeting civilian infrastructure.
- ❖Tucker Carlson's monologue condemning Trump's rhetoric as 'evil' and suggesting service members should defy orders highlights the extreme nature of the situation.
- ❖The term 'Tacoeing' describes Trump's pattern of creating crises and then backing down, though hosts argue 'tacoeing on genocide' is too severe to walk back.
- ❖The 25th Amendment, designed for presidential incapacity, has an impractically high bar (2/3rds Congressional vote) for removal, making it unlikely to be invoked.
- ❖A recent OLC opinion declaring the Presidential Records Act unconstitutional could allow Trump to avoid accountability for document handling and potentially destroy records.
- ❖There is a critical lack of checks on a president's decision to use nuclear weapons, relying heavily on service members refusing orders, which is deemed unrealistic.
- ❖The Nuremberg trials established the concept of war crimes and universal jurisdiction, offering a historical lens to current discussions about accountability for atrocities.
Insights
1Trump's Rhetoric as Potential War Crimes
Former President Trump's tweets, such as threatening 'a whole civilization will die tonight' and targeting 'power plant day and bridge day' in Iran, are legally interpreted as potential war crimes. Specifically, the intent to destroy an entire people constitutes genocide, and targeting civilian infrastructure like bridges, power, water, and food supplies is a violation of the laws of war, which prohibit attacks on non-military targets and could lead to mass civilian casualties.
Host Asha Rangappa cites Trump's specific tweets and explains the legal definitions of genocide and targeting civilian infrastructure as war crimes. She notes that intent ('mens rea') is often the difficult part to prove in genocide cases, but Trump's explicit tweets directly address his state of mind.
2The Impracticality of the 25th Amendment for Incapacity
The 25th Amendment, designed for removing a president due to incapacity, faces an extremely high bar for implementation. It requires the Vice President and a majority of the Cabinet (or a body designated by Congress) to declare the president unable to discharge their duties, followed by a two-thirds vote in both the House and Senate to confirm the removal. This threshold is significantly higher than impeachment and has proven unattainable even in severe crises.
Host Renata Mariotti reads directly from the 25th Amendment, detailing the process and highlighting the requirement for a two-thirds vote in both houses of Congress. He points out that even after the January 6th Capitol attack, only a few Republicans voted for Trump's removal, demonstrating the political difficulty of meeting this bar.
3OLC Opinion Undermines Presidential Records Act
The Department of Justice's Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) issued an opinion declaring the Presidential Records Act of 1978 unconstitutional. This act, established after Nixon's departure, designates all presidential records as U.S. government property. The OLC opinion argues Congress lacks authority to legislate on executive branch records, potentially allowing a future president to disregard record-keeping laws, destroy documents, and avoid accountability for their actions, including those related to classified materials.
Asha Rangappa details the history of the Presidential Records Act, its purpose in making presidential records U.S. property, and the OLC's argument that it 'grandizes the legislative branch at the expense of the constitutional independence and autonomy of the executive.' Renata Mariotti explains how this guidance instructs NARA not to comply with the law and provides a 'tailor-made excuse' for a president to avoid accountability.
4Lack of Checks on Nuclear Authority and Military Disobedience
There is no real check on a president's decision to use nuclear weapons, making the world dependent on service members refusing orders. While military officers take an oath to uphold the Constitution, not solely follow presidential orders, the hosts express doubt about the realism of widespread disobedience to orders, even those constituting war crimes, especially given the current political climate and the appointment of officials who condone such actions.
Asha Rangappa states, 'there's no real check on the decision to use the nuclear weapons' and questions whether the military would say 'no' to orders to attack civilian targets. She contrasts the oaths of enlisted officers (to superiors) with those of military officers (to the Constitution) but expresses skepticism about refusal in practice, citing the confirmation of a Secretary of Defense who believed war crimes were acceptable.
Bottom Line
The constitutional system, particularly the 25th Amendment, is currently inadequate to address a president deemed incapacitated or dangerous, requiring significant reform.
This inadequacy leaves the U.S. vulnerable to executive overreach and potentially catastrophic decisions, as the existing mechanisms for removal are politically unfeasible.
Congress could establish a non-partisan body, as allowed by Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, to assist the Vice President in adjudicating presidential incapacity, thereby bypassing a politically compromised cabinet and setting a precedent for future crises.
The OLC opinion on the Presidential Records Act creates a legal loophole that could allow a future president to destroy or withhold critical government records without consequence, despite the act's original intent to ensure accountability.
This undermines government transparency and historical record-keeping, making it harder to hold presidents accountable for their actions and potentially enabling the concealment of misconduct.
Legal scholars and civil society groups must challenge this OLC interpretation in courts or through public pressure, advocating for legislative reaffirmation of the Presidential Records Act's constitutionality and strengthening mechanisms for record preservation.
Key Concepts
Tacoeing (Trump Always Chickens Out)
A phenomenon where Donald Trump escalates situations to the brink, creating artificial crises, only to back down after eliciting a reaction or concessions. This pattern has been observed in both domestic and international policy, but its application to threats of mass destruction is seen as a dangerous escalation that may not be reversible.
The Banality of Evil
A concept, attributed to Hannah Arendt, suggesting that horrific evils can be committed by ordinary people who simply follow orders or fail to speak up, rather than by overtly monstrous individuals. This model is invoked to highlight the danger of complacency and the potential for 'normal' leaders to commit atrocities if unchecked.
Lessons
- Understand the legal definitions of war crimes, including genocide and targeting civilian infrastructure, to critically evaluate political rhetoric and hold leaders accountable.
- Recognize the limitations of existing constitutional checks, like the 25th Amendment, and advocate for reforms that would create more robust safeguards against executive abuse of power.
- Pay attention to legal opinions from bodies like the Office of Legal Counsel, as they can significantly alter the interpretation and enforcement of laws, impacting government transparency and accountability.
Notable Moments
Tucker Carlson's 48-minute monologue condemning Trump as 'the antichrist' and an 'evil man' for threatening nuclear war and civilian murder.
This represents a significant ideological break from a prominent conservative media figure, highlighting the extreme nature of Trump's rhetoric and its potential to alienate even staunch supporters.
Discussion of the Nuremberg trials as the first establishment of international war crimes and universal jurisdiction.
This historical context provides a foundational understanding of the legal principles being invoked when discussing modern threats of genocide and attacks on civilians, emphasizing the global consensus against such atrocities.
Quotes
"Tuesday will be power plant day and bridge day all wrapped up in one in Iran. There will be nothing like it. Exclamation point. Exclamation point. Exclamation point. Open the [ __ ] straight, you Oh, sorry. Open the [ __ ] straight, you crazy bastard. No G there. Um or you'll be living in hell. Just watch. Praise be to Allah. President Donald J. Trump."
"A whole civilization will die tonight. Never to be brought back again. I don't want that to happen, but it probably will."
"Destroying an entire civilization would be a war crime. It's called genocide."
"Tacoe, people are using this phrase. It's Trump always chickens out. And it's this idea that Trump takes people to the brink, creates these artificial crises, and then backs down."
"Tacoeing on genocide is just, you know, you don't get to walk back from that actually."
"The 25th Amendment to the Constitution is about removing a president in case of incapacity, and the bar is actually higher than it is for impeachment, which is problematic."
"There's no real check on the decision to use the nuclear weapons, by the way. Like and I mean we would in this kind of situation really be dependent on service members refusing orders."
"The paradox that people that we think of as monsters can be very normal."
Q&A
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