Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖Gavin Newsom has reversed his stance on calling Israel an 'apartheid state' and committed to not taking AIPAC money, a significant shift from his previous ambiguity.
- ❖Newsom attributed his 'apartheid' comment to a Tom Friedman article, framing it as a concern about the potential full annexation of the West Bank.
- ❖Cory Booker, a long-time AIPAC supporter, also announced he would not take PAC money, including from AIPAC, a move seen as a strategic, low-cost decision for a presidential run.
- ❖AIPAC's Super PAC, United Democracy Project (UDP), funds 'fake popup PACs' in local elections (e.g., Elect Chicago Women) to influence outcomes, often only disclosing involvement post-election.
- ❖Democrats recently flipped two Republican-held Florida state legislative seats, including one Trump won by 11 points, indicating a 10-20 point swing in special elections.
Insights
1Gavin Newsom's Strategic Pivot on Israel and AIPAC
California Governor Gavin Newsom has publicly shifted his position on Israel, retracting his previous use of the term 'apartheid' and committing to not accepting money from AIPAC. He clarified his 'apartheid' comment by referencing a Tom Friedman article, stating it was a concern about the 'direction' of Benjamin Netanyahu's government and the potential for full annexation of the West Bank, which he believes could lead to such a situation. This move is seen as an attempt to navigate the complex political landscape within the Democratic Party.
Newsom stated, 'I believe in I I rever the state of Israel. I'm proud to support the state of Israel. I deeply deeply oppose BB Netany's leadership... Do you regret using the word apartheid to describe? I do in this context that I said it and I referenced why I used it a Tom Freriedman article in that same sentence where Tom used it in the context of the direction that BB is going... if they see the full annexation of the West Bank then that's not something that's a word you may hear others use.' He also previously said he wouldn't take AIPAC money.
2Cory Booker's Calculated Distancing from AIPAC
Senator Cory Booker, historically a strong proponent of AIPAC's agenda, has also announced he will no longer accept PAC money, including from AIPAC. The hosts characterize this as a 'smart' strategic move for a presidential campaign, noting that corporate PAC money (capped at $5,000) is less critical for presidential candidates who rely more on billionaire donors or grassroots funding. This decision allows Booker to align with a growing progressive sentiment without significantly impacting his fundraising for a national race.
The host states, 'Cy Booker, guess what? Just like Gavin Newsome, he went from, you know, getting embarrassed in an interview to saying, you know what, okay, I'm not taking Apac money. ...when you're running for president, here's what people don't quite know. Corporate pack money is capped at what? 5,000? It's not much... That's not enough for a presidential campaign. For that, you need billionaires or regular people.'
3AIPAC's Covert Funding Through 'Fake Popup PACs'
AIPAC's Super PAC, the United Democracy Project (UDP), employs a strategy of funneling money through what the hosts call 'fake popup PACs' (e.g., 'Elect Chicago Women,' 'Affordable Chicago Now') to influence local elections. These committees are funded by UDP and other AIPAC donors, but their connection to AIPAC is often not officially disclosed until after the campaign concludes. This tactic allows AIPAC to exert influence while maintaining a degree of deniability during the election cycle.
The host explains, 'UDP is United Democracy Project. That's Apac's Super PAC... we've been reporting for many weeks that it was Apac money that was funneling through these what what they call local committees. And those quote unquote local committees were they're called elect Chicago women, affordable Chicago now, and one other progressive something something. There were fake popup packs that would then be funneled that would then be funded by UDP, APAC super PAC, plus a bunch of AP pack donors. And then you don't learn that officially until after the campaign is over.'
4Democratic Flips in Florida State Legislative Races
Democrats achieved significant victories by flipping two Republican-held state legislative seats in Florida. One notable win was in a State House district that includes Trump's Mar-a-Lago, which Trump carried by 11 points in 2024. The Democratic candidate, Emily Gregory, narrowly won with 51% of the vote. Another flip occurred in a Republican Senate district. These results are framed as part of a broader '10-20 point swing' observed in recent special elections, potentially making previously safe Republican districts vulnerable.
The host states, 'Democrat flips Republican held Florida State House district that includes Trump's Mara Lago... Emily Gregory, according to NBC, quote, narrowly won the special election for the district Tuesday night. According to AP projections, Trump carried this district in 2024. Gregory got 51% of the vote to 49% for the Trump endorsed candidate... Democrats flipped two seats in Florida that had been Republican held before. I think the Republicans had won Trump's Mara Lago seat by 11 points before.'
Lessons
- Political candidates should be prepared for intense scrutiny and repeated questioning on controversial foreign policy issues, as demonstrated by Newsom and Booker's experiences, and develop clear, consistent messaging.
- Voters and journalists should investigate the funding sources of local political committees, especially those with generic names, as they may be fronts for larger, less transparent Super PACs like AIPAC's UDP.
- Democratic strategists can leverage the observed '10-20 point swing' in special elections to identify and target Republican-held districts that were previously considered safe, particularly those won by smaller margins by Trump.
Quotes
"I believe in I I rever the state of Israel. I'm proud to support the state of Israel. I deeply deeply oppose BB Netany's leadership his opposition to the two-state solution and deeply oppose how he is indulging the far right as it relates to what's going on in the West Bank."
"Do you regret using the word apartheid to describe? I do in this context that I said it and I referenced why I used it a Tom Freriedman article in that same sentence where Tom used it in the context of the direction that BB is going... if they see the full annexation of the West Bank then that's not something that's a word you may hear others use."
"The thing that Democrats get so frustrated with where we are right now where you see like the Zoron momis and the grand platiners rise up because you we can they can go on podcast and you can say do you think Benjamin Netanyahu is a war criminal and they just say yes."
"Cory Booker is one of the lead champions of Apac's agenda in Congress over the years. for him to understand that that it's too toxic to take is a water is a watershed moment for APEC. I will say that."
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