Elections; Cannabis Union; Wealth Inequality & Housing Crisis w/ GCD Union, Max Buchholz | MR Live

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Quick Read

This episode dissects the Illinois primary results, exposes anti-union tactics at a Brooklyn cannabis dispensary, and challenges conventional wisdom on housing affordability by linking it to wealth inequality rather than regulation.
Progressives faced significant losses in Illinois primaries, while APAC and crypto industry influence was evident.
Gotham Cannabis Dispensary unlawfully terminated employees during a successful union drive and stalled contract negotiations.
New research suggests wealth inequality, not housing regulation, is the core cause of America's housing affordability crisis.

Summary

The episode covers three main topics: an analysis of the Illinois primary elections, highlighting progressive setbacks and the influence of APAC and crypto money; a discussion with union organizers and an employee from Gotham Cannabis Dispensary about unlawful terminations and stalled contract negotiations during a unionization drive; and an interview with Max Buckholtz, lead author of a working paper arguing that wealth inequality, not regulation, is the primary driver of America's housing affordability crisis, proposing solutions like social housing, rent control, and income redistribution.
This episode provides a critical lens on contemporary political dynamics, labor struggles in emerging industries, and a fundamental re-evaluation of economic policy regarding housing. It challenges the dominant narrative that deregulation alone can solve housing crises, shifting focus to systemic wealth disparities and offering concrete policy alternatives, which is vital for anyone seeking to understand or influence economic and social policy.

Takeaways

  • Illinois primaries saw progressive candidates struggle, with APAC-backed candidates winning in key districts, despite APAC avoiding direct mention of Israel in ads due to its 'toxic' perception among Democratic voters.
  • Juliana Stratton's victory in the Illinois Democratic Senate primary was a defeat for the crypto industry and highlighted Governor Pritzker's political influence for future presidential aspirations.
  • Employees at Gotham Cannabis Dispensary successfully unionized with RWDSU Local 338 despite management's anti-union tactics, including unlawful terminations and prolonged delays in contract bargaining.
  • The cannabis industry, despite its progressive image, often exhibits anti-labor practices, making unionization crucial for workers facing issues like management problems, scheduling, and lack of direct communication channels.
  • A working paper by Max Buckholtz and co-authors argues that housing affordability is driven by wealth inequality, not restrictive regulations, challenging the 'abundance theory' which posits that deregulation and increased supply are the primary solutions.
  • The paper's simulation indicates that even with aggressive building rates, it would take decades to over a century for median one-bedroom units to become affordable to non-college-educated workers, due to the high elasticity of housing demand.
  • Historically, US housing market metrics like vacancy rates and units per person are 'fine,' and mean housing prices have tracked mean incomes, but this average obscures the struggles of the bottom 50-60% of the population whose incomes have stagnated.
  • Effective solutions to the housing crisis, as observed in other high-income countries, include robust public sector financing for social housing, national rent control policies, and significant income redistribution.

Insights

1Illinois Primaries Reveal Progressive Setbacks and Strategic PAC Influence

The Illinois Democratic primaries showed a challenging landscape for progressive candidates. In District 2, the APAC-favored candidate, Donna Miller, won with 40%, while the progressive choice received only 12%. Juliana Stratton's win in the Illinois Senate primary was a notable defeat for the crypto industry, and her campaign strategically attacked Donald Trump, boosting Governor Pritzker's political standing. Despite significant spending (e.g., $30 million from APAC, $20 million from crypto), APAC ads notably avoided mentioning Israel, indicating its toxicity among Democratic voters. Overall, the results suggested a 'not great day for progressives' in several congressional races.

Host Sam Seder's analysis of Illinois primary results, including specific district outcomes, candidate affiliations (APAC, progressive, crypto), and campaign strategies.

2Gotham Cannabis Dispensary Engaged in Unlawful Anti-Union Tactics

Employees at Gotham Cannabis Dispensary in Brooklyn successfully organized to join RWDSU Local 338, but faced severe retaliation from management. Tony Delorbo, a key organizer, was unlawfully terminated for alleged 'gossip and bullying' shortly after the organizing drive began, a claim refuted by a current employee. The company also significantly delayed bargaining for a contract for approximately six months after the union won the election, demonstrating a lack of interest in respecting employee wishes or reaching an agreement. This highlights a broader trend where even 'progressive' industries like cannabis can exhibit anti-labor practices.

Testimony from Tony Delorbo (former employee), Malik Bowens (current employee), and Luca Negro (union representative) detailing the timeline of organizing, termination, and bargaining delays.

3Wealth Inequality, Not Regulation, Drives America's Housing Affordability Crisis

Max Buckholtz, lead author of a working paper from the London School of Economics, challenges the prevailing 'abundance theory' that housing unaffordability is primarily due to restrictive regulations and a supply shortage. His research suggests that while building more housing can reduce prices, the impact is marginal and would take decades to over a century to make a median one-bedroom affordable to a median non-college-educated worker, even at high building rates. This is partly because demand for housing is highly elastic, meaning people consume more housing when it's available. The core issue, according to the paper, is wealth inequality: the top 30-40% of the population has experienced significant income growth, enabling them to bid up housing prices, leaving the bottom 50-60% struggling with stagnant incomes.

Max Buckholtz's explanation of his working paper's findings, including the simulation results, the concept of elastic demand, and the analysis of mean income/housing price trends versus income growth disparities.

4Policy Solutions for Housing Affordability Must Focus on Redistribution and Public Investment

Given that deregulation and increased market-rate supply are insufficient to address the housing crisis, Buckholtz advocates for policies observed in other high-income countries. These include a more active public sector role in financing social housing (available across income levels), implementing national rent control, and enacting income redistribution policies. He highlights that direct income support, like an expanded child tax credit, could significantly alleviate housing burdens for lower-income households without necessarily inflating prices, as their spending patterns differ from higher-income groups who treat housing more like a luxury good.

Max Buckholtz's discussion of policy recommendations, drawing comparisons to European models and suggesting mechanisms like public housing financing, rent control, and income redistribution via tax benefits or direct payments.

Lessons

  • Support cannabis workers' unionization efforts by encouraging dispensaries to negotiate in good faith and by letting budtenders know customers support their rights.
  • Advocate for housing policies that prioritize public sector investment in social housing, implement rent control, and promote income redistribution, rather than solely focusing on deregulation.
  • Challenge the 'abundance theory' in housing discussions by emphasizing the role of wealth inequality and the limited impact of supply-side solutions alone on true affordability for lower-income populations.

Quotes

"

"Apac laid low in this race, but reportedly Stratton received some funding from Apac supporters... all the winners who received a ton of money from Apac... I don't think there was a single ad that Apac paid for that mentioned the word Israel because it is a toxic... to Democratic voters."

Sam Seder
"

"The company decided to react in a very negative way and go after our most vocal supporters such as Tony, terminate them for for for bogus reasons and try to, you know, completely destroy what was being built and scare the workers away from from wanting to form their union."

Luca Negro
"

"What we find is that in like the best case scenario, it's a few decades. In the worst case, it's like over a hundred years, right? Based on what we know about how new supply impacts prices."

Max Buckholtz
"

"The mean is obscuring the fact that we have this huge group of people at the bottom who have had almost no income growth... and that like 40 maybe 50% of people is who are really struggling."

Max Buckholtz

Q&A

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