Larry C. Johnson & Col. Larry Wilkerson: Russia & Iran Just Built a WAR Shield - China Warns
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖The CIA is actively conducting acts of war against Russia, including alleged assassination attempts, potentially without the President's direct, informed consent.
- ❖US foreign policy is plagued by the 'myth of the key man,' a belief that removing a single leader (e.g., Putin, Gaddafi) will resolve complex geopolitical issues, often leading to worse outcomes.
- ❖Ukraine faces an insurmountable demographic disadvantage against Russia, making continued Western military support a 'suicide' mission.
- ❖European populations largely oppose war with Russia, but their leaders remain committed to escalatory policies.
- ❖Donald Trump is not actively working to de-escalate the Russia-Ukraine conflict and is perceived as being held hostage by Israeli interests.
- ❖Israel is orchestrating a propaganda campaign to generate public support for new military attacks on Iran, based on exaggerated claims of internal unrest.
- ❖Iran has significantly strengthened its military alliance with Russia and China, receiving advanced defense systems and intelligence sharing, making any US/Israeli attack far more perilous.
- ❖A potential war with Iran could involve direct Russian and Chinese military involvement, targeting US bases and naval assets, and potentially lead to the use of nuclear weapons by Israel.
- ❖BRICS is evolving beyond an economic bloc into a security cooperation framework, potentially offering an alternative to the UN's 'colonial legacy system'.
Insights
1CIA Conducting Acts of War Against Russia
Larry C. Johnson asserts that the CIA is engaged in operations that constitute acts of war against Russia, citing a New York Times article and the failed drone attack on a military installation near Putin's residence. He claims the CIA's involvement is evident from their knowledge of the target and the recovery of drone components by Russia, which contained flight path and targeting information. Colonel Wilkerson supports the idea that the CIA may be operating without full presidential knowledge or consent, recalling instances where Trump's orders to withdraw forces were ignored.
New York Times article on CIA targeting Russian assets; Russian recovery of drone components with flight path/targeting data; Trump's past orders being ignored by military/intelligence. (, , )
2The 'Myth of the Key Man' in US Foreign Policy
Larry C. Johnson criticizes the US foreign policy establishment for operating under the 'myth of the key man,' the belief that removing a single leader will resolve complex geopolitical problems. He cites historical examples like Diem in Vietnam, Noriega, Gaddafi, Saddam Hussein, and Bin Laden, arguing that such actions rarely lead to desired outcomes and often result in worse situations. He specifically warns that assassinating Putin would likely lead to a more aggressive successor like Dmitri Medvedev, potentially triggering tactical nuclear strikes.
Historical examples of US interventions (Vietnam, Panama, Libya, Iraq, Al-Qaeda); analysis of Putin's perceived restraint compared to potential successors. (, )
3Ukraine's Unsustainable War and Western Delusions
Johnson argues that Ukraine's war effort is mathematically unsustainable due to its rapidly dwindling population (down to 19 million, including women, children, elderly) compared to Russia's 150 million. He claims the casualty exchange ratio is as high as 60:1 in Russia's favor and that Western powers (Brits, Germans, French, US) are facilitating Ukraine's 'suicide' based on flawed intelligence about Russia's economy and military resilience.
Former Ukrainian Prime Minister's reported population figure (19 million); reported 60:1 casualty exchange ratio; Western reliance on Ukrainian intelligence and misjudgment of Russian economy. (, )
4Israel's Influence and Manufactured Pretext for War with Iran
Both Johnson and Wilkerson contend that Donald Trump's administration is heavily influenced by Israeli interests, with figures like Cash Patel and John Ratcliffe described as 'prostitutes' to Israel. They claim Israel is orchestrating a 'propaganda campaign' to create public support for renewed attacks on Iran, exaggerating internal protests to suggest widespread unrest that would collapse with military intervention. They argue this is a 'damn stupid decision' and a 'definition of insanity' given past failures.
Allegations of Israeli influence on Trump administration figures; observation of a 'manufactured' information operation about Iranian protests; historical context of Israeli military actions. (, )
5Iran's Strengthened Alliances and Preparedness for War
The host, Nema, reports that Iran has received multiple cargo planes from Russia and that Iranian officials are prepared for war, stating they 'will not stop' if attacked again. Johnson confirms that since the '12-day war,' Iran has abandoned its 'delusional dream' of operating alone and has formed close military and intelligence alliances with Russia and China. This includes sharing intelligence and potentially receiving advanced air defense systems and personnel, making US/Israeli air attacks highly risky and potentially exposing the 'limitations of US power.'
Reported arrival of Russian cargo planes in Iran; Iranian officials' statements of preparedness; Iran-Russia treaty for intelligence sharing; Chinese economic activity in Iran. (, )
Bottom Line
Russia is likely to escalate its response to alleged CIA operations, potentially targeting and killing British and US intelligence operatives.
This signifies a dangerous shift from proxy conflict to direct targeting of intelligence personnel, increasing the risk of direct, overt military engagement between major powers.
Intelligence agencies and diplomatic channels need to re-evaluate de-escalation strategies and consider the direct targeting of personnel as a new baseline for conflict.
BRICS is evolving into a security cooperation framework, potentially creating an alternative to the United Nations' 'colonial legacy system' by deploying its own peacekeeping forces.
This development challenges the existing global governance structure, indicating a move towards a multipolar world where non-Western alliances can project military and diplomatic power independently.
Policymakers should analyze the implications of a parallel global security architecture and consider how to engage with or adapt to this emerging power bloc.
Israel's military is described as 'incompetent' and 'cowardly' for failing to defeat Hamas despite overwhelming advantages, instead resorting to killing civilians.
This challenges the perception of Israel as a formidable military power and suggests that its current strategy is counterproductive, alienating global opinion and failing to achieve its stated objectives.
A re-evaluation of military aid and strategic partnerships with Israel, considering its operational effectiveness and ethical conduct in conflict zones.
Lessons
- Question mainstream media narratives regarding geopolitical conflicts, especially those concerning Russia and Iran, as they may be part of 'manufactured' propaganda campaigns.
- Recognize the potential for bureaucratic inertia and hidden agendas within intelligence agencies to drive foreign policy decisions, even against presidential directives.
- Understand that the 'kill the leader' strategy in foreign policy often backfires, leading to more radical or unpredictable successors and escalating conflicts.
- Be aware of the growing military and intelligence alliances between non-Western powers like Russia, China, and Iran, which significantly alter the global balance of power and increase the risks of military intervention.
- Consider the economic limitations and internal dissent within Western nations that may constrain their ability to sustain prolonged military conflicts or interventions.
Notable Moments
Discussion of the New York Times article alleging CIA involvement in targeting Russian assets and the drone attack near Putin's residence.
This sets the stage for the claim that the CIA is conducting acts of war and highlights the potential for covert operations to escalate international tensions.
Larry Johnson's detailed explanation of the 'myth of the key man' and its historical failures in US foreign policy.
This provides a critical framework for understanding why attempts to remove foreign leaders often lead to unintended and negative consequences, particularly in the context of Russia.
The host's report on current conditions in Tehran, contrasting it with Western media portrayals of widespread revolution.
This directly challenges the narrative of 'manufactured' protests in Iran, suggesting a deliberate effort to create a pretext for military intervention.
Discussion of Iran's recent receipt of Russian cargo planes and officials' statements of preparedness for war, vowing not to stop.
This provides concrete evidence of Iran's strengthened military posture and resolve, indicating a significantly higher risk for any future US/Israeli attack.
Colonel Wilkerson's assertion that Israel possesses nuclear weapons on submarines and could use them, escalating any conflict with Iran to an existential level.
This introduces the ultimate escalation factor in the potential Iran conflict, highlighting the catastrophic global implications of such a war.
Quotes
"What is clear is that the CIA is conducting operations that are acts of war against Russia."
"I think Trump is losing it. I really do. I don't think he can concentrate for very long... Lots of rats will play in that vacuum. And as Larry suggested, and as I've seen up close and personal with regard to the CIA, they are one of the biggest rats in terms of playing with the president's prerogatives."
"If we get rid of Putin, most likely what comes next is someone like a Dmitri Medvidev... if Putin was assassinated, there would be tactical nukes launched at the United States. It would be that simple."
"I personally believe that members of Israeli intelligence were involved with the murder of Charlie Kirk. I think the circumstantial evidence on that is overwhelming. The motive for it is quite clear."
"We are going back to war with Iran... The Iranians should have finished it off. They should have finished Israel off."
"Neither Israel nor the United States can conduct a ground invasion of Iran... The potential gamechanger is that if Russia and or China have supplied Iran with advanced air defense systems and with the personnel capable of operating them, then it's going to put the United States in a position that those planes, even the B2s could be vulnerable to being shot down."
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