This Could be Hegseth's Biggest Mistake Yet (w/ David French) | Bulwark Podcast
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Summary
Takeaways
- ❖The Supreme Court decisively upheld birthright citizenship, striking down Trump's executive order 6-3, a significant rebuke to the MAGA agenda.
- ❖Rulings on executive firing power grant the President more authority over independent agencies, but also reduce the overall power of the executive branch.
- ❖The hosts critique the Democratic Party's struggle to connect with working-class voters and warn against taking the 'wrong lessons' from election outcomes, emphasizing the need for genuine responsiveness to voter concerns.
Insights
1Birthright Citizenship Upheld, Trump's EO Struck Down
The Supreme Court issued a 6-3 decision upholding birthright citizenship, striking down a Trump executive order that sought to change centuries of American law and precedent. David French expressed surprise at the three dissenting votes, including Gorsuch, suggesting a narrower margin than anticipated after oral arguments.
The 6-3 decision struck down Trump's EO. Gorsuch was the third dissenter. Kavanaugh concurred in part and dissented in part, arguing Congress could overturn the 1950s law, but not the President.
2TPS Ruling Highlights Congressional Malpractice and Judicial Restraint
The Supreme Court's ruling on Temporary Protected Status (TPS) revocations was criticized for its cruel policy implications, but legally, it exposed congressional malpractice. The law granted immense discretion to the administration and explicitly stated that TPS revocation was not reviewable by courts, making legal challenges difficult.
The law gave enormous discretion to the administration and stated revocation of TPS status is not reviewable by courts. The court's reasoning on racial targeting was questioned, as it noted the Trump administration cut off all TPS designations, regardless of country, but these were all from majority-minority countries so far.
3Inconsistent Judicial Scrutiny of Race in Court Rulings
David French identified an inconsistency in the Supreme Court's treatment of race. In the Hawaii gun control case, the court rejected a historical comparison to 1865 Louisiana 'Black Codes' due to their discriminatory intent, even if facially neutral. However, in the TPS case, despite overtly racist statements from the Trump administration, the court emphasized the 'neutral application' of the policy.
In the Hawaii gun case, the majority called out the 1865 Louisiana law as 'Black Codes' and discriminatory (). In the TPS case, the court focused on the neutral application of cancelling all TPS designations, despite racist rhetoric ().
4Increased Presidential Power Over Executive Agencies (Slaughter Case)
The Supreme Court's 'Slaughter' ruling significantly increased presidential power over executive branch agencies. The court asserted that any agency with lawmaking or law enforcement powers must be accountable to an elected official (the President for executive agencies, Congress for legislative ones), challenging the independence of many multi-member commissions.
The core of the ruling is that executive branch agencies must be accountable to a political figure, specifically the president, if they have lawmaking/law enforcement powers. This allows a new president to sweep out previous appointees.
5Federal Reserve's 'Grandfathered' Independence (Cook Case)
In the 'Cook' ruling, the Supreme Court upheld the independence of the Federal Reserve, essentially carving it out from the principles established in the 'Slaughter' case. The majority argued the Fed is 'just different,' tracing its lineage to pre-founding entities and citing 'reliance interests' as a reason to maintain its unique structure, despite its significant governmental role.
The majority opinion stated the Fed is 'just different' from other agencies, tracing its lineage back to quasi-public/private entities before the founding, and that Hamilton and Madison supported such a structure. Kavanaugh's concurrence emphasized upholding the Fed's independence to avoid introducing uncertainty into world markets, citing 'reliance interests' as a strong legal justification.
6Campaign Finance Ruling Weakens Campaigns, Empowers Parties
The Supreme Court, in a 6-3 decision, struck down coordinated spending limits between candidates and party committees, extending the logic of Citizens United. This decision weakens individual campaigns by leveling the playing field for party committees, allowing them to spend unlimited coordinated money, further complicating the campaign finance landscape.
The ruling struck down limits on coordinated spending between candidates and party committees, allowing party committees to have equal power to spend. French argued the existing labyrinth of regulations diminishes political parties and campaigns, empowering Super PACs.
7Trump's Mixed Supreme Court Term
While Trump secured wins in the Slaughter and TPS cases, he also suffered significant losses. These included the upholding of birthright citizenship, a defeat on tariffs (a centerpiece of his domestic policy), and the loss of his appeal in the E. Jean Carroll case, indicating a mixed, but on balance, challenging term for his agenda.
Trump lost on birthright citizenship and tariffs, and his appeal in the E. Jean Carroll case. He won on executive firing power (Slaughter) and the TPS ruling.
8DOJ's 'Dual State' Justice and Political Weaponization
David French discussed the concept of a 'dual state' justice system, where the legal system operates normally for most but applies differently to those favored or disfavored by the regime. He criticized the DOJ for potentially overcharging and slandering citizens in cases against left-wing protesters, while Trump allies receive impunity, creating a 'justice for thee, not for me' scenario.
French cited the Prairieland case involving Antifa protesters where a cop was shot, but also mentioned other cases in Chicago where charges against protesters were dropped despite initial overcharging and slander by the administration, highlighting a double standard compared to Trump allies' impunity.
9Hegseth's Purging of General Donahghue Alarms Republicans
The forced removal of General CD Donahghue by Hexith (a hypothetical Secretary of Defense) is seen as a '2x4 that broke the camel's back' for many, including Republicans. Donahghue was a universally respected warfighter, and his ousting, amidst other military issues and Hexith's claims of meritocracy, signaled that 'excellence can't trump politics' in Hexith's military.
Hexith forced out General Donahghue, described as one of the most respected warfighters. This occurred after a floundering military adventure in Iran, a flu outbreak due to voluntary vaccines, and other general firings, despite Hexith's claims of promoting meritocracy and lethality.
Bottom Line
The Supreme Court's approach to executive power, while increasing presidential control over agencies, simultaneously aims to diminish the overall power of the executive branch by limiting the scope of independent agencies. This could lead to a less powerful, but more politically responsive, bureaucracy.
Future presidents will have greater direct control over federal agencies, potentially leading to more rapid policy shifts with each new administration. However, the agencies themselves may have reduced regulatory and enforcement capabilities, shifting power dynamics within the federal government.
Advocates for limited government or those seeking to streamline federal bureaucracy could find opportunities in this shift, while those who rely on independent agencies for stable, expert-driven regulation may need to adapt their strategies to a more politically susceptible environment.
The current campaign finance system, characterized by a 'labyrinth of regulations' and complexity, effectively acts as a 'subsidy for the wealthy' because only those with resources can afford the legal expertise to navigate it and participate fully.
This complexity perpetuates an uneven playing field in political speech and participation, disproportionately benefiting well-funded individuals and organizations, and hindering grassroots movements or ordinary citizens from engaging effectively.
Reforms that simplify campaign finance laws, rather than adding more layers, could democratize political participation and reduce the influence of money in politics. This presents an opportunity for legislative innovation that prioritizes accessibility over intricate control.
There is a growing generational divide in the perception of democracy, with younger Americans, who have not experienced the horrors of alternative regimes (fascism, communism), viewing democracy primarily through its flaws.
This perspective makes younger cohorts more susceptible to 'fascist curious' or 'communist curious' ideologies, as they lack the historical context that informed older generations' appreciation for democratic systems. This poses a long-term threat to democratic stability.
Political leaders and educators have a dual obligation: to actively work towards improving democracy to address its current flaws and to educate younger generations about the historical dangers and practical failures of authoritarian alternatives. This requires both policy innovation and robust civic education.
Lessons
- Advocate for congressional reforms that clarify the scope of executive agency power and ensure accountability, rather than creating laws with unchecked administrative discretion.
- Evaluate political candidates and parties not just on their stated goals, but on their willingness to genuinely listen to and address the economic and social concerns of disaffected voter groups.
- Support efforts to simplify campaign finance regulations to reduce the 'subsidy for the wealthy' and promote broader, more equitable political participation.
Quotes
"If you are a lawmaking part of government, you are accountable to the president."
"If we go in and wreck the Fed, it's not just 330 million people. It's a global economy. The reliance interests are about as strong in guaranteeing the independence of the Fed as you can have in law."
"If the first amendment means anything, it means political speech is the highest. It is the reason for being of the first amendment is the protection of political speech."
"You do not need red shirts to beat brown shirts. You do not need brown shirts to beat red shirts."
"How does a company go bankrupt? Gradually then suddenly. I think this was the gradually then suddenly moment on the broader public sort of that broader public sense of the state of the military."
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