🚨 LIVE: Ayatollahs OUT Of Power In Iran - IRGC Military Take Over - Regime Falls Apart
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖IRGC military bases in Ahvaz, Shiraz, Isfahan, Qom, and Tehran have been targeted by strikes.
- ❖Mojtaba Khamenei, the 'new supreme leader,' is reportedly in a coma and has lost a leg, yet 'official statements' are being released in his name.
- ❖Leaked IRGC internal messages reveal significant infighting, with lower ranks refusing to fight while leadership's children get rich.
- ❖Multiple Iranian diplomats have defected in Denmark and Australia, seeking asylum.
- ❖The IRGC military is experiencing severe supply shortages (e.g., 20 bullets for two soldiers), widespread desertions, and tensions with the regular army.
- ❖A former IRGC captain, Mehdi, publicly defected, citing the regime's use of the IRGC to protect stolen wealth and the violence against its own citizens.
- ❖US and Israeli forces have taken full control of Iranian skies, targeting ballistic missile launchers and drone carriers.
- ❖Jewish synagogues in Michigan, Norway, and Belgium have faced attempted attacks.
- ❖An American-owned oil tanker in the Persian Gulf and areas in Dubai have been attacked by Iranian proxies.
- ❖IDF has flattened 10 Hezbollah command centers in Dahiya, Lebanon, and threatened ground operations if Lebanon fails to control Hezbollah.
- ❖Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi urged Iranian civilians to stay home and avoid government/state buildings, called for civil servants to strike, and encouraged IRGC members to defect.
Insights
1IRGC Military Takes Control Amidst Clerical Collapse
The Ayatollahs are no longer in charge of Iran, with the IRGC military assuming full operational control of the conflict and day-to-day governance. This shift is attributed to the death or incapacitation of most clerical leaders, including the supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, and his 'successor' Mojtaba Khamenei.
The host states, 'the Ayatollahs are no longer in charge of Iran. Because the IRGC military have now taken full control of not just the actual conflict, but the day-to-day operation in Iran.' He also mentions the majority of the previous leadership are 'dead and the rest of them are currently in a coma.'
2Mojtaba Khamenei's 'Coma Statements' Expose Regime Propaganda
Mojtaba Khamenei, referred to as the 'cardboard Ayatollah,' is reportedly in a coma and has lost a leg, yet 'official statements' are being released in his name. These statements, posted on unverified accounts with broken links, vow vengeance, demand reparations from the US, and issue threats, highlighting the regime's desperate use of propaganda to maintain an illusion of leadership.
The host details, 'Mojtaba Khamenei... decided to release the his first ever official statement as supreme leader... while being in a coma.' He adds, 'his statement... was posted by his unverified account on X and the link goes to a website that is broken.' The host then summarizes the content of these 'statements.'
3Widespread Defections and Internal Strife within IRGC
The IRGC is experiencing severe internal challenges, including significant infighting among mid-ranking members, widespread desertions, and a refusal by some personnel to transport injured regular army soldiers. Leaked messages reveal deep resentment over leadership's corruption and hypocrisy, with lower ranks questioning why they should fight while leaders' children get rich abroad. Multiple diplomats and a former IRGC ground forces captain have also defected.
Leaked text messages show IRGC members asking, 'Why don't you step forward yourself? Where are the privileged sons?' and stating, 'my family and I should become martyrs so Shamkhani's kids get richer and Ghalibaf's daughter can go to Turkey to buy baby supplies?' The host also confirms two diplomats defecting in Denmark and Australia, and reads a letter from 'Mehdi, former captain in the IRGC ground forces,' detailing his defection due to the regime's brutality against its own people.
4US and Israel Achieve Air Superiority Over Iran
US Central Command and Israeli forces have successfully taken full control of the skies over Iran within two days of operations. They are systematically targeting IRGC ballistic missile launchers and drone carriers, which are often left exposed, significantly degrading Iran's offensive capabilities.
The host states, 'Central Command managed to easily confirm within 2 days that both the Americans and the Israelis managed to take full control of the skies over Iran.' He adds that Central Command's video shows 'they have been targeting more ballistic missile launchers and drone carriers... they're all out in the open.'
5Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi's Call to Action for Iranians
Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi issued an urgent message to the Iranian people. He advised civilians to stay home and avoid government or major state buildings, including hospitals and schools, as they are now being used as IRGC bases. He urged government civil servants and bureaucrats to continue their strikes to paralyze the regime and ensure their safety. He also called on those still within the regime to 'give up' and join the revolution.
The host summarizes Pahlavi's speech: 'ordinary people, civilians in Iran, stay at home again. Do not approach government buildings or even major state buildings... Those who work for the government, civil servants, bureaucrats, continue your strikes... And a message to those who are still part of the regime, give up because the game is up and it's time for you to join the revolution.'
Bottom Line
The Iranian populace is reportedly celebrating the destruction of IRGC targets by US and Israeli forces, viewing it as a 'rescue mission' rather than a conflict against them.
This suggests a deep chasm between the regime and its people, indicating that external military action against the IRGC might be perceived as liberation, potentially fostering internal support for regime change rather than resistance.
External actors could leverage this perceived public sentiment by explicitly framing military actions as targeting the regime, not the Iranian people, to further delegitimize the IRGC internally and encourage broader civil unrest or defection.
The US stands to gain significant long-term economic benefits from the conflict, including massive access to Iranian oil, gas, and other resources, which could lead to an economic boom.
This reframes the conflict not merely as a humanitarian or security intervention but as a strategic economic play for the US, aligning its geopolitical objectives with potential domestic prosperity.
Policymakers could publicly articulate these long-term economic gains to garner broader domestic support for interventions, framing them as investments in future US economic stability and growth, not just 'charity' or security operations.
Opportunities
Post-Conflict Iranian Resource Extraction & Infrastructure Development
Establish companies or investment funds focused on securing and developing Iran's vast oil and gas reserves, as well as rebuilding critical infrastructure, once the current regime is removed and the US gains economic access. This would involve significant capital investment in energy, construction, and logistics sectors.
Key Concepts
International Law as a Convenient Fiction
The host argues that 'international law' is a false concept, a 'convenient fiction' that world leaders invoke or ignore based on their immediate needs and political expediency, rather than a universally binding framework.
Martyrdom Paradox
The host highlights a contradiction in Islamist ideology: while martyrdom is praised as a path to a better afterlife, followers are observed crying in despair over the deaths of those who supposedly achieved this 'goal,' questioning the sincerity of their belief in the afterlife's superiority.
Lessons
- Iranian civilians should avoid all government and major state buildings, including hospitals and schools, as they are being repurposed as IRGC bases.
- Iranian civil servants and bureaucrats are urged to continue or initiate strikes to paralyze the regime and ensure their personal safety during the ongoing conflict.
- Individuals currently serving within the IRGC are encouraged to defect and join the revolution, as the regime's collapse is framed as inevitable, leaving them accountable to the people.
Iranian Revolution Playbook (as advised by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi)
Civilians: Stay home and avoid all government and major state buildings, including hospitals and schools, as they are now IRGC operational bases.
Civil Servants/Bureaucrats: Continue or initiate strikes to paralyze the regime's functions and ensure personal safety.
IRGC Members: Recognize the regime's impending collapse, defect, and align with the revolutionary movement to avoid future accountability to the Iranian people.
Notable Moments
Iranians are shown on rooftops and balconies, playing music and watching what the host describes as 'fireworks' (military strikes) against IRGC targets.
This visually depicts the alleged public sentiment of celebration and relief among some Iranians regarding the attacks on the IRGC, contradicting the regime's narrative of national unity against foreign aggression.
Residents in Ekbatan, Tehran, used a projector to display the Israeli flag on a building, a 'biggest crime' under the Islamic occupation.
This act of defiance directly challenges the regime's anti-Israel ideology and showcases significant internal dissent and willingness to commit 'treasonous' acts in support of perceived liberators.
Quotes
"We were not defending the people of Iran. We were defending the bank accounts of our commanders and the survival of a handful of men at the top of power."
"You cannot look into the eyes of an unarmed 20-year-old lying on the road on the streets in a pool of blood and still convince yourself that you are on the right side."
"The regime is using you as a wall between its stolen wealth and the anger of the nation. When that wall finally collapses, and it will, they will flee in private jets to places like Caracas or Moscow. You will be the ones left to answer to the people of Iran."
"International law is a convenient fiction for world leaders to either invoke or ignore completely as their needs call for in the moment."
Q&A
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