ICE Defeated In Minnesota; US Starving Cuba w/ Noah Kulwin, Brendan James | MR Live

Quick Read

The US intensifies its economic strangulation of Cuba through new tariffs and fuel cutoffs, while domestic immigration enforcement faces public backlash and internal inconsistencies, revealing a pattern of aggressive, yet potentially desperate, foreign and domestic policy.
US tariffs on fuel suppliers are causing catastrophic power outages and suffering in Cuba, a situation worse than the post-Soviet 'special period'.
ICE's Minnesota operations are drawing down due to public opposition, with data showing the agency targets low-threat individuals and engages in systemic fraud.
Marco Rubio, influenced by the Cuban-American lobby, is a key architect of the intensified 'slow siege' against Cuba, often operating independently of Trump's broader agenda.

Summary

The episode features a discussion with Noah Kulwin and Brendan James of the Blowback Podcast, focusing on two critical areas: the Trump administration's intensified pressure on Cuba and the operations of ICE in Minnesota. The hosts and guests detail how the US is enacting a 'slow siege' on Cuba by threatening tariffs on countries supplying fuel, leading to power outages and severe hardship, a situation described as worse than the 'special period' after the USSR's collapse. They contextualize this within a long history of US imperialism and the powerful influence of the Cuban-American lobby, particularly Marco Rubio, who is portrayed as a key driver of current policy. Domestically, the discussion covers a reported drawdown of ICE operations in Minnesota, attributed to public protests and the untenable nature of sustained occupation. The Cato Institute's David Bier is cited, presenting data that immigrants contribute significantly to the economy and are not primarily responsible for welfare fraud, arguing that DHS itself is engaged in 'the largest fraud' by collecting billions in immigration fees without processing applications and targeting low-threat individuals. The hosts criticize DHS as a 'Gestapo' operating with a budget larger than the FBI's, engaging in constitutional violations and prioritizing easy arrests over genuine threats.
This analysis exposes the severe human cost of US foreign policy in Cuba and the domestic implications of aggressive immigration enforcement. It highlights how political narratives (e.g., 'fraud' or 'national security') are used to justify policies that cause widespread suffering, while often contradicting factual evidence and constitutional principles. Understanding these dynamics is critical for grasping the real-world impact of US power, the influence of specific political lobbies, and the challenges to civil liberties both at home and abroad.

Takeaways

  • The Trump administration is imposing massive tariffs on countries sending fuel to Cuba, leading to widespread power outages and a 'slow siege' on the island nation.
  • The current situation in Cuba is described as more severe than the 'special period' following the collapse of the USSR, indicating unprecedented hardship.
  • ICE's 'surge operation' in Minnesota is concluding, partly due to sustained public protests and the agency's inability to maintain a prolonged occupation.
  • The Cato Institute's research indicates immigrants reduce deficits and account for only 5% of welfare fraud, challenging common anti-immigrant narratives.
  • DHS is accused of 'the largest fraud' in US immigration history by collecting billions in fees for applications it does not process, and targeting low-threat immigrants for arrests.
  • Marco Rubio is identified as a primary driver of US policy towards Cuba, leveraging the powerful Cuban-American diaspora to pursue regime change.
  • The hosts argue that discussions of civil liberties in countries like Cuba must be contextualized by the ongoing 'war' (assassination attempts, terrorism, embargo) waged by the US against them.

Insights

1US Intensifies Economic Warfare Against Cuba

The Trump administration has escalated its economic pressure on Cuba by threatening massive tariffs on any country supplying fuel, particularly oil. This policy has led to severe fuel shortages, widespread power outages, and a 'slow siege' on the island, causing immense suffering and pushing the country into a crisis worse than the 'special period' after the Soviet Union's collapse.

Noah Kulwin states Trump's threat to issue massive tariffs on any country sending fuel to Cuba, resulting in kids being sent home from school and massive power outages (). Brendan James confirms the measure of cutting off the island from its regularly scheduled fuel deliveries, chiefly from Mexico (). The hosts and guests repeatedly refer to the situation as a 'slow siege' and 'unprecedented' (, ).

2ICE Operations in Minnesota: Drawdown Amidst Controversy and Alleged Fraud

ICE's 'surge operation' in Minnesota is reportedly drawing down, a move the host attributes partly to sustained public protests and the agency's inability to maintain an indefinite occupation. Despite a narrative of targeting 'public safety threats,' data from the Cato Institute reveals that 60% of ICE arrests in Minnesota involve no criminal convictions or charges, and 75% are classified as 'not a threat at all.' The host and a Cato Institute representative accuse DHS/ICE of systemic fraud, including pocketing billions in immigration fees without processing applications and illegally sharing non-citizen taxpayer info with ICE.

Tom Homan announces the conclusion of the surge operation (). The host notes protests made it difficult for ICE to stay () and that ICE's own numbers show they are not going after high-risk individuals (). David Bier of the Cato Institute states non-citizens account for only 5% of welfare fraud losses () and that DHS is 'openly carrying out the largest fraud in the history of the US immigration system' by not processing applications despite collecting billions in fees (). Bier also states 60% of Minnesota arrests have no criminal convictions and 75% are classified as 'not a threat at all' (, ).

3The Enduring Influence of the Cuban-American Lobby and Marco Rubio

The Cuban-American diaspora, particularly in Florida, is described as an 'incredibly potent and reactionary force' in US domestic politics, cultivated by the US government since the 1960s to promote anti-communist causes. Marco Rubio, a key figure from this lobby, is portrayed as the primary architect of the current aggressive Cuba policy, often dictating terms and even misrepresenting ongoing 'discussions' with Cuba to the White House, while the Cuban government denies any dialogue.

Noah Kulwin describes the Cuban-American diaspora as an 'incredibly potent and reactionary force' () and details how the US government cultivated them (). Brendan James states Marco Rubio is 'the one actually calling the shots and making policy' regarding Cuba () and that Rubio was 'telling even his own president that oh yeah we're in touch with the Cubans' while Cubans denied any dialogue ().

Bottom Line

The US, despite its declining global influence, is becoming more dangerous and destructive in its foreign policy, acting like a 'cornered animal' rather than a weakening power.

So What?

This perspective challenges the assumption that a weakening empire is necessarily less harmful. Instead, it suggests that desperation or a perceived loss of control can lead to more volatile and devastating actions, particularly against smaller nations.

Impact

Analysts and policymakers should consider this 'cornered animal' dynamic when predicting US behavior, rather than solely focusing on a linear decline of power. This could inform strategies for de-escalation or international solidarity to mitigate harm.

The US government, through DHS, is accused of perpetrating 'the largest fraud' in its immigration system by collecting billions in fees for applications it then fails to process, while simultaneously using 'fraud' as a pretext to target immigrants.

So What?

This highlights a profound hypocrisy and systemic corruption within a major federal agency, where the very narrative used to justify enforcement (combating fraud) is allegedly being undermined by the agency's own practices. It suggests that the 'fraud' narrative is a smokescreen for other objectives, such as political scapegoating or revenue generation.

Impact

Investigative journalism and legal challenges could focus on the financial and administrative discrepancies within DHS's immigration processing, potentially exposing widespread mismanagement or intentional obstruction that impacts millions of applicants.

Key Concepts

The Cornered Animal

The guest Noah Kulwin suggests that while America's global power may be in decline, it becomes 'quite dangerous when cornered or sick,' leading to more aggressive and destructive actions in its foreign policy, such as the intensified strangulation of Cuba.

Lessons

  • Support organizations and advocacy groups working to counter US economic sanctions and embargoes against Cuba, raising awareness about the humanitarian crisis.
  • Investigate and challenge local ICE operations, using data from organizations like the Cato Institute to expose inconsistencies in their stated objectives versus actual arrests.
  • Demand transparency from DHS regarding immigration application processing times and fee utilization, pushing for accountability for alleged systemic fraud and constitutional violations.

Notable Moments

Tom Homan announces the conclusion of ICE's surge operation in Minnesota, attributing it to 'success' and coordination, while the host frames it as a response to public pressure.

This moment highlights the tension between official narratives of success and the reality of public resistance impacting federal enforcement operations, suggesting that sustained protest can yield results.

David Bier of the Cato Institute testifies, presenting data that immigrants are not the primary cause of welfare fraud and that DHS itself is engaged in massive fraud by not processing applications.

This provides a data-driven counter-narrative to common anti-immigrant rhetoric, exposing the alleged hypocrisy and inefficiency within DHS, and reframing the 'fraud' issue as an internal government problem rather than an immigrant one.

Quotes

"

"Trump's threat to issue massive tariffs on any company or sorry any country that sends fuel uh in particular oil most of all uh to Cuba right now. And consequently, because Cuba does not produce enough oil to keep its grid running and to meet the needs of its own country, uh this has resulted in the I mean sort of a a slow siege uh that is picking up steam in Cuba."

Noah Kulwin
"

"DHS is itself openly carrying out the largest fraud in the history of the US immigration system. DHS and the State Department are raking in billions of dollars in immigration fees and not providing the adjudications that applicants are entitled to."

David Bier (Kato Institute)
"

"I think any liberal in America should be able to understand that uh war is not conducive to civil liberties in our current environment."

Host (Matthew Le)
"

"This is worse than the special period which if people don't know was the period after the collapse of the USSR... Now, this is unprecedented this level."

Brendan James

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