🚨 BREAKING: New IRGC Supreme Leader TARGETED - Mojtaba Khamenei MISSING
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖Israeli and American forces have launched a new wave of strikes on Tehran and Karaj, targeting IRGC bases and military airports.
- ❖Mojtaba Khamenei, the alleged new Supreme Leader, is reported missing, with speculation he may be dead or severely injured (e.g., lost a leg).
- ❖The IDF and US have released a new hit list targeting Mojtaba Khamenei, Ali Larijani, Hussein Mosani, Ali Abdullahi, Muhammad Bogari Kalibaf, and Ahmed Bahidi.
- ❖Anti-IRGC Iranians are conducting guerrilla warfare, including hacking state TV, attacking small bases, and setting fire to IRGC street tents.
- ❖Iranian ballistic missiles aimed at Israel have reportedly fallen into the sea, and drones targeting Qatar were intercepted.
- ❖France is deploying naval forces to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while the UK government is criticized for inconsistent policy on Middle East deployment.
- ❖Five Iranian women's football players defected in Australia, with an IRGC handler, Muhammad Rahman Salari, allegedly attempting to prevent their escape.
- ❖Unverified reports suggest several IRGC IT engineers responsible for internet censorship have been killed in recent strikes in Tehran.
Insights
1Mojtaba Khamenei's Disappearance and Leadership Vacuum
Mojtaba Khamenei, recently designated as the new Supreme Leader, is reported missing and potentially dead or severely injured (e.g., having lost a leg). The host speculates the IRGC might be concealing his true condition, potentially employing a 'Weekend at Bernie's' strategy to maintain a facade of leadership. His non-appearance at a scheduled national address and coronation ceremony, where only a framed photo and a WhatsApp message were presented, fuels these theories.
Host's report of Mojtaba being 'missing in action' and 'lost a leg' (, ). Speculation about him being 'already dead' () and the 'Weekend at Bernie's' theory (). Description of the failed live appearance and coronation where only a framed photo and text message were presented (-).
2Intensified Israeli and US Strikes on Iranian Targets
Israel and the United States have launched a significant wave of strikes across Iran, primarily targeting Tehran and Karaj. These operations have focused on military airports, IRGC barracks (e.g., in Esfahan), and other strategic sites, including bunkers and tunnel networks, in an effort to locate Mojtaba Khamenei and dismantle Iranian military capabilities. The strikes have reportedly destroyed multiple Iranian military airports and an IRGC air force base.
Reports of 'huge fresh wave of strikes' in Tehran and Karaj (). IDF flattening IRGC barracks in Esfahan (). IDF releasing footage targeting 'six Iranian military airports' and destroying 'every single one' (). Destruction of the IRGC air force base in Tehran ().
3New IDF/US Hit List Targeting Iranian Officials
The Israeli Defense Forces and the US military have reportedly released a new hit list of senior Iranian officials. At the top of this list is Mojtaba Khamenei. Other prominent figures include Ali Larijani (former right-hand man to the previous Supreme Leader), Hussein Mosani (from the judiciary), Ali Abdullahi (commander of Katam Alia headquarters), Muhammad Bogari Kalibaf (Speaker of Parliament), and Ahmed Bahidi (Commander-in-Chief of the IRGC).
Host stating 'new hit list for both the Israeli Defense Forces and the US military' (). IDF officially releasing a 'new hit list' (). Listing of individuals on the hit list: Mojtaba, Ali Larijani, Hussein Mosani, Ali Abdullahi, Muhammad Bogari Kalibaf, and Ahmed Bahidi (-).
4Internal Guerrilla Warfare and Resistance in Iran
Anti-IRGC Iranians on the ground are reportedly engaging in 'guerrilla warfare' and acts of sabotage. These activities include hacking state TV, targeting smaller IRGC bases and police stations, and individual acts of defiance such as a young woman setting fire to an IRGC street tent. This internal resistance is occurring concurrently with external military strikes.
Reports of 'guerrilla warfare from the anti-IRGC Iranians on the ground' (). Mention of a young woman setting fire to a base (). Later, a specific example of a young Iranian girl setting fire to an IRGC street tent (). Mention of hacking Islamic state TV and targeting smaller IRGC bases ().
Bottom Line
The alleged appointment of a 'dead leader' (Mojtaba Khamenei) by the IRGC, if true, indicates a desperate attempt to maintain control and project stability despite severe internal and external pressures, potentially signaling a deeper crisis within the regime's succession planning.
This tactic could lead to increased public distrust and further delegitimize the IRGC's authority, potentially accelerating internal dissent and making any future leadership transition even more chaotic and unpredictable.
External actors could exploit this perceived weakness and lack of clear leadership by amplifying information about the 'dead leader' theory, further eroding the regime's credibility among its remaining supporters and the broader Iranian populace.
The IRGC's continued, seemingly indiscriminate missile and drone attacks on neighboring countries like Qatar and Dubai, with poor accuracy and frequent apologies/excuses, suggest a significant degradation of their operational capabilities or a deliberate strategy to project aggression without effective military impact.
This pattern of ineffective attacks risks alienating potential regional neutrals and strengthening the resolve of countries like Qatar to actively defend against Iranian aggression, potentially leading to a broader regional coalition against Iran, even if informally.
Allied intelligence agencies can analyze the trajectories and failure rates of these attacks to gain insights into IRGC missile technology, targeting protocols, and command-and-control weaknesses, informing more effective counter-strategies and defense systems.
The reported killing of IRGC IT engineers responsible for internet censorship in recent strikes could significantly impact the regime's ability to control information flow within Iran.
A sustained disruption to censorship capabilities could empower internal resistance movements by allowing greater communication, coordination, and access to external information, potentially fueling further anti-regime activities.
International efforts to provide secure, uncensored internet access (e.g., Starlink) to Iranian citizens become even more critical and potentially effective if the regime's censorship infrastructure is weakened, creating a window for increased information freedom.
Lessons
- Monitor reports on Mojtaba Khamenei's status closely, as his confirmed death or severe injury could trigger significant internal power struggles within Iran.
- Observe the effectiveness and targets of ongoing Israeli and US strikes to assess the extent of damage to Iran's military infrastructure and leadership.
- Track the actions of anti-IRGC resistance groups within Iran, as their increased activity could indicate a growing internal challenge to the regime.
- Analyze the responses of regional powers (e.g., Qatar, UAE) and international allies (e.g., France, UK) to Iranian aggression for shifts in alliances or military deployments.
Notable Moments
The IRGC's attempt to present Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader via a framed photo and a WhatsApp message at a supposed coronation ceremony.
This highly unusual and almost farcical presentation strongly suggests a cover-up regarding his actual status, indicating either severe injury, death, or an inability to appear publicly, undermining the legitimacy of his 'appointment'.
A young Iranian woman setting fire to an IRGC street tent, captured on video.
This act symbolizes the ongoing internal resistance and guerrilla warfare against the IRGC, demonstrating direct civilian defiance and highlighting the regime's vulnerability even in temporary, makeshift installations.
Former President Trump's justification for the B2 bomber attacks, claiming Iran was on the verge of attacking the US, Middle East, and Israel with nuclear weapons.
This statement provides a specific rationale for past and ongoing military actions against Iran, framing them as preemptive and essential to regional security, and offers insight into the perceived threat level from a US leadership perspective.
Quotes
"At the top of it is Moab, the new so-called Supreme Leader. And he is now missing in action. Apparently, he's lost a leg."
"The Islamic Republic is currently being governed by a framed photo."
"The theory that they might have actually picked a dead leader because he can't kill a dead leader is becoming more legitimate."
"If we didn't do that B2 attack, Israel would have been wiped out. They would have had a nuclear weapon within two weeks after that."
Q&A
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