🚨 BREAKING: Ceasefire REACHED In Iran War - Pahlavi's Urgent Message To Army
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖A two-week ceasefire was agreed between the US and Iran, with President Trump stating military objectives were met and peace talks would follow.
- ❖The IRGC immediately violated the ceasefire by launching missiles and drones at Israel, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia.
- ❖Israel responded with air attacks targeting Tehran, among other locations in Iran.
- ❖Conflicting statements from within the Iranian regime regarding the terms of the ceasefire highlight internal disarray.
- ❖Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi issued an urgent message to Iran's regular army, distinct from the IRGC.
- ❖The host strongly advised Iranians to abandon protests and engage in "guerrilla warfare" against the weakened regime during the ceasefire period.
- ❖The IRGC was observed using civilian infrastructure like amusement parks and power plants as human shields.
- ❖An American journalist, Shelley Klesson, was released after a forced confession orchestrated by an IRGC-linked militia in Iraq.
- ❖President Trump debunked a CNN report about an Iranian statement, calling it a "fraud" linked to a fake news site.
Insights
1Ceasefire Terms and US Objectives
President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran, stating that the US had "met and exceeded all military objectives" and was close to a "definitive agreement concerning long-term peace." A key condition for the US was the "complete immediate and safe opening of the Strait of Hormuz."
We have already met and exceeded all military objectives and are very far along with a definitive agreement concerning long-term peace with Iran and peace in the Middle East. We received a 10-point proposal from Iran and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. Almost all of the various points of the past contentions have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two-week period will allow the agreement to be finalized and consummated.
2IRGC's Initial Stance vs. Submission
The host noted that the IRGC initially declared "red lines," including cutting diplomatic ties, demanding Hezbollah's inclusion in any ceasefire, and rejecting a ceasefire in favor of a complete end to the war. However, they "came crawling back and begged for a ceasefire" after US threats.
So earlier today, we had a bit of a situation as the IRGC had a huge number of red lines. They also said that we have cut off all diplomatic ties. We're not talking Hezbollah, Lebanon has to be part of any ceasefire and we don't actually want a ceasefire. won the complete end to the war and then obviously President Trump started to threaten the Islamic Republic. The IRGC came crawling back and begged for a ceasefire and now they've got it for 2 weeks at least.
3Immediate Ceasefire Violations
Within minutes and hours of the ceasefire announcement, the IRGC launched missiles and drones towards Israel, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, and Houthi forces in Yemen launched missiles towards Israel. Qatar also reported Iranian missile debris falling on a residence, causing injuries.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have now launched an attack on the United Arab Emirates, which is technically almost an hour after the ceasefire has been agreed. Also, 5 minutes after the ceasefire was announced, they also launched missiles towards Israel... and Yemen the Houthies have now launched have now started launching missiles towards the state of Israel as well... The Qataris have been under attack tonight from Iran despite the negotiations that were ongoing to come up with some sort of ceasefire.
4Conflicting Iranian Regime Statements
The Islamic Republic's Supreme National Security Council announced a 10-point proposal that the US was "forced to accept," including demands like US withdrawal from the region and reparations to Iran. However, Iran's Foreign Minister later released a 15-point statement that contradicted many of these claims, revealing internal "miscommunication" and "conflict" within the regime.
The Islamic Republic's Supreme National Security Council says the United States has been forced forced to accept Iran's 10-point proposal... That clearly wasn't it because the foreign minister Abbos Arachi has just released another statement that has 15 points and none of the 15 points are about the 10 points that they were talking about including the US withdrawing from the Middle East completely their forces and lifting all sanctions all that nonsense.
5Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi's Message to the Army
The leader of the Iranian opposition, Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, released an urgent video message specifically addressed to the regular armed forces of Iran, distinct from the IRGC, implying a call for their support or defection.
He has now published and released a the latest urgent video message to the armed forces of Iran, not the IRGC, but the regular army.
6IRGC's Use of Human Shields and Civilian Infrastructure
The host presented video evidence of the IRGC using family members to form "human chains" around power plants and stationing military equipment in children's amusement parks in Ahvaz, a tactic described as "disgusting behavior."
They also decided to use their own family members and relatives of the IRGC forces to create a human chain human chain outside the infrastructure including power plants... They have been obviously stationing and positioning their military equipment and their military personnel inside children's amusement parks. This one is in Avas.
7Israeli Counter-Attacks
Following the IRGC's ceasefire violations, the Israeli Defense Forces launched a major air attack on Iran, including targeting the capital, Tehran, and the country's largest aluminum producer.
The Israeli defense announced that they attacked eight bridges across the country... we got this confirmation from the Israeli defense forces that there was a joint attack on Iran's Iraq Iraq Arach Iraq aluminium company the country's largest aluminium producer... Ladies and gentlemen, we now have confirmation the Israeli Defense Forces have launched an attack on the Islamic Republic of Iran. The IDF are now hitting back... The IDF are now targeting Tehran, the capital in Iran.
8Host's Call for Guerrilla Warfare
The host explicitly advised the Iranian people to abandon street protests against the Islamic Republic and instead engage in "guerrilla warfare" with coordination from armed groups, intelligence agencies (Mossad, CIA), and the Crown Prince, arguing that protests are ineffective and dangerous.
The Iranian people should not protest anymore. Do not protest against the Islamic Republic. No more. Never again. Done with protests. You do not protest. You do not demonstrate. You do not do marches or rallies against our occupation force. You fight. You fight and fight and fight... Guerrilla warfare. This is the only way right now.
Bottom Line
The host frames the two-week ceasefire not as a period of peace, but as a critical window for the Iranian people and armed forces to act against a weakened regime, especially if external military action by the US and Israel pauses.
This perspective suggests that external military pressure is seen as a precursor to internal action, and a pause in that pressure creates an opportunity for regime change from within.
Support and coordinate with internal resistance movements in Iran, leveraging the regime's internal disarray and temporary cessation of external strikes to destabilize it further.
The host repeatedly suggests that the ongoing missile launches post-ceasefire are due to "miscommunication or lack of communication" among IRGC forces, implying rogue commanders or isolated units are acting independently.
This indicates a potential lack of centralized control within the IRGC, which could be exploited by adversaries or internal opposition.
Exploit communication vulnerabilities or internal divisions within the IRGC to further destabilize their command structure and operational effectiveness.
Key Concepts
Human Shields Tactic
The host highlights the IRGC's use of civilians, including family members, to form "human chains" around critical infrastructure (power plants) and stationing military equipment in children's amusement parks, a tactic compared to Saddam Hussein's methods.
Guerrilla Warfare as a Strategy
The host advocates for a shift from traditional street protests to organized, armed "guerrilla warfare" within Iran, coordinating with external intelligence agencies and the Crown Prince, to exploit the regime's weakened state during the ceasefire.
Lessons
- Monitor for internal dissent and conflicting statements within the Iranian regime as indicators of its stability and control.
- Assess the strategic implications of temporary ceasefires as potential windows for non-state actors or internal opposition to initiate or escalate actions.
- Analyze the effectiveness of different resistance tactics (e.g., protests vs. guerrilla warfare) in authoritarian regimes, considering the host's strong advocacy for the latter in Iran.
Strategy for Iranian Resistance
Abandon Protests: Do not engage in street protests or demonstrations against the Islamic Republic, as this makes individuals easy targets for the regime.
Embrace Guerrilla Warfare: Shift to organized, armed "guerrilla warfare" tactics to actively fight and dismantle the system.
Coordinate with External Support: Seek and maintain coordination with armed groups, intelligence agencies (Mossad, CIA), and the Crown Prince for strategic guidance and resources.
Exploit Regime Weakness: Capitalize on periods of external military pause and internal regime disarray to take decisive actions to bring down the system.
Notable Moments
Shelley Klesson's Forced Confession
The broadcast features a video of American journalist Shelley Klesson, held by an IRGC-linked militia, delivering a "forced confession" that criticizes the Trump administration, highlighting a classic tactic of Islamist groups.
Host's Personal Experience with Iranian Regime
The host, Myer Tusi, recounts his personal experience of being arrested and tortured as a teenager in Tehran by the morality police for being with a female family friend, illustrating the regime's brutality and lack of rule of law.
Trump's Rejection of CNN's "Fake News"
President Trump issued a statement debunking a CNN World News report about an Iranian victory claim, calling it a "fraud" from a Nigerian fake news site and ordering CNN to retract it.
Quotes
"We have already met and exceeded all military objectives and are very far along with a definitive agreement concerning long-term peace with Iran and peace in the Middle East."
"The IRGC came crawling back and begged for a ceasefire and now they've got it for two weeks at least."
"You do not protest. You do not demonstrate. You do not do marches or rallies against our occupation force. You fight. You fight and fight and fight."
"Tucker is a low IQ person that has absolutely no idea what is going on. He calls me all the time. I don't respond to his calls. I don't deal with him. I like dealing with smart people, not fools."
Q&A
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