Shawn Ryan Show
Shawn Ryan Show
February 19, 2026

Jeremy Slate - 3 Things That Happened in 1913 That Changed the World | SRS #281

Quick Read

Explore the striking parallels between the decline of the Roman Empire and current challenges facing the United States, focusing on monetary debasement, border control, and shortsighted political leadership.
Currency debasement fueled Roman collapse; the US faces similar inflation with 80% of M2 money printed since COVID.
Rome's borders and citizenship value eroded due to unchecked immigration and political expediency, a pattern seen in modern US border issues.
Shortsighted politicians prioritizing immediate power over long-term stability doomed Rome, a warning for current US leadership.

Summary

This episode draws direct parallels between the collapse of the Roman Empire and the current state of the United States, arguing that societal decline is a process, not a sudden event. The guest, Jeremy Ryan Slate, outlines 'The Roman Pattern' of collapse: monetary debasement, porous borders, and shortsighted politicians. He details how Rome experienced extreme inflation (15,000% by 284 AD) and a loss of citizenship value, mirroring the US's M2 money supply expansion and immigration challenges. The conversation highlights the shift in military loyalty from the state to individual commanders in Rome, drawing comparisons to a transactional US military. A critical turning point for the US is identified in 1913 with the establishment of the Federal Reserve, income tax, and direct election of senators, which centralized power and eroded republican principles. The episode emphasizes the importance of fixing currency, securing borders, and revitalizing education and manufacturing to avert a similar decline.
Understanding historical patterns of societal collapse, particularly from the Roman Empire, provides a crucial framework for analyzing contemporary issues in the United States. The parallels in monetary policy, border security, political shortsightedness, and the erosion of civic identity offer a sobering lens through which to view current challenges. Recognizing these patterns can inform discussions on economic stability, national sovereignty, and the long-term health of democratic institutions, urging a focus on fundamental reforms rather than short-term fixes.

Takeaways

  • The Roman Empire's decline was characterized by monetary debasement, poor border control, and shortsighted political leadership.
  • Gold's rising price indicates the dollar's decreasing value, not gold's appreciation, reflecting inflation similar to Rome's 15,000% inflation by 284 AD.
  • The US military is becoming transactional, mirroring Roman legions whose loyalty shifted from the state to individual generals offering more pay.
  • The year 1913 marked a pivotal shift for the US with the Federal Reserve Act, income tax, and direct election of senators, centralizing power and weakening state representation.
  • Roman citizenship lost its value when Emperor Caracalla granted 30 million people citizenship overnight for tax revenue, eroding identity and increasing state burden.
  • The loss of practical knowledge and manufacturing capacity, akin to Rome's inability to maintain infrastructure like aqueducts, poses a significant threat to modern society.

Insights

1The Roman Pattern of Societal Collapse

Societies in decline consistently exhibit three patterns: mismanagement of money leading to inflation, poor border control resulting in a loss of national identity, and shortsighted politicians prioritizing immediate power over long-term stability. This pattern is evident in the Eastern Roman Empire, the Mongol Empire, Weimar Germany, and is currently observable in the United States.

The guest explicitly states, 'The three things that if you look at empires in decline... the first is they don't handle their money well... The other thing is immigration and poor border control... And the third is that politicians start getting so shortsighted.' He then applies this to the US.

2Currency Debasement and Inflation: A Shared History

Both the Roman Empire and the modern US have experienced severe currency debasement. Rome's silver coins became 5% pure bronze by the late 270s AD, leading to 15,000% inflation by 284 AD. Similarly, the US dollar's value is eroding, with 80% of the M2 money supply printed since COVID, causing the price of gold to surge and reflecting a devalued dollar.

The guest notes, 'gold is at $5,000 an ounce this year... if it took thousands of years to get to $2,000 an ounce and then five years it goes to 5,000... your dollar doesn't go as far.' He adds, '80% of the M2 money supply was printed since co.' For Rome, 'their silver coin that was 95% pure in the first century... are 5% pure by the late 270s. So the money is worth almost nothing. 15,000% inflation.'

3Erosion of Citizenship Value and Border Integrity

Roman citizenship, once a highly valued right, was debased by Emperor Caracalla in 212 AD when he granted 30 million people citizenship overnight, primarily to increase tax revenue. This diluted the meaning of Roman identity and created a larger burden on the state. This parallels current US immigration issues where large influxes of people, some not integrating, strain resources and challenge national identity.

The guest states, 'In 212 the emperor Kakala has basically bankrupted the treasury... he gives 30 million people citizenship overnight... that to me is the moment when citizenship starts to lose its value even more.' He then connects this to current US border issues and the provision of resources to non-citizens.

4The Transactional Military and Shifting Loyalties

The Roman military evolved from citizen-soldiers to a transactional force where loyalty was to individual generals offering higher pay and 'donatives' (bonuses), rather than to Rome itself. This led to internal fractures and barbarians fighting for Rome one day and against it the next. This pattern is compared to a modern US military where some personnel are 'just waiting for retirement' and flag officers prioritize personal advancement over national interest.

The guest explains, 'people stop having real allegiance to Rome and more their commander.' He later adds, 'you see someone like like Olarich... He had worked in the Roman army... then he sacks Roman 410.' The host notes, 'I'm just waiting for retirement... And then on the other side, you have the the the the flag officers who will do anything... just to get that next star.'

51913: A Turning Point for the American Republic

The year 1913 saw three critical changes in the US that fundamentally altered its republican structure: the establishment of the Federal Reserve (a private banking cartel), the 16th Amendment (income tax to fund the new bank), and the 17th Amendment (popular election of senators, removing state legislature representation). These changes centralized power and paved the way for an 'imperial presidency' ruling by executive order, eroding the original constitutional balance.

The guest details, 'The first is... the Federal Reserve... The other thing that passes that year is the 16th amendment for income tax... The other thing that passes that year... the 17th amendment makes it so senators are no longer selected by state legislators. They're selected by popular vote.' He concludes, 'we become less and less of a republic.'

6History's Propaganda: The Power Structure Dictates the Narrative

Historical accounts, both Roman and modern, are often shaped by the prevailing power structure. Less than 10% of Roman society was literate, meaning history was written by and for the elite. Emperors like Augustus commissioned literature to create a desired narrative, and later accounts changed based on whether an emperor was alive or dead. This highlights that history is often a 'shadow' of reality, manipulated to serve institutional interests.

The guest states, 'the power structure is going to dictate what the history you're getting is.' He cites Augustus commissioning works like the Aeneid and Livy's histories, and how accounts of emperors like Nero changed dramatically after their death. He also mentions the debate around Rome's 476 AD fall date, influenced by Justinian's agenda.

Bottom Line

The US's shift from a functional republic to an 'imperial presidency' can be traced to the legislative changes of 1913 (Federal Reserve, income tax, direct senatorial elections) and further cemented by presidents like FDR and subsequent reliance on executive orders.

So What?

This suggests that the erosion of democratic principles in the US is not a recent phenomenon but a century-long process, driven by fundamental structural changes that centralized power and diminished state and individual representation.

Impact

Advocacy for constitutional originalism and decentralization, particularly revisiting the implications of the 16th and 17th Amendments, could be a path to restoring republican balance and limiting executive overreach.

The decline in national 'know-how' and manufacturing capacity, coupled with an education system producing graduates without practical skills, mirrors Rome's loss of the ability to maintain its own infrastructure (e.g., aqueducts).

So What?

This 'brain drain' and shift to a purely service-based economy creates systemic vulnerability, as a nation becomes reliant on others for essential goods and lacks the internal expertise to sustain itself.

Impact

Invest in vocational training, apprenticeships, and policies that incentivize domestic manufacturing and production. Re-emphasize practical skills and trades to build a more resilient and self-sufficient economy and workforce.

Key Concepts

The Roman Pattern

A recurring historical pattern observed in declining empires and societies, characterized by three core issues: mismanagement of currency (inflation/debasement), porous borders and uncontrolled immigration leading to loss of national identity, and shortsighted politicians prioritizing immediate power over long-term stability.

Collapse as a Process, Not a Moment

Societal decline is a gradual, decades-long process where daily life continues with minor alterations, making it difficult for those living through it to perceive the systemic breakdown. It's a 'fade' rather than a 'fall,' often only recognized in retrospect.

Lessons

  • Educate yourself on the history of currency debasement and inflation to understand its long-term societal impacts and protect personal wealth.
  • Critically evaluate political narratives and historical accounts, recognizing that they are often shaped by those in power to serve specific agendas.
  • Support policies that strengthen border security and promote civic assimilation to maintain national identity and prevent the erosion of citizenship value.
  • Advocate for reforms that limit executive power and restore checks and balances, particularly regarding the Federal Reserve and the balance of power between federal and state governments.
  • Consider the long-term implications of current societal trends, such as declining birth rates and the loss of manufacturing, and seek ways to contribute to solutions that foster resilience and self-sufficiency.

Notable Moments

The host's realization that 80% of the M2 money supply was printed since COVID, directly connecting modern inflation to historical currency debasement.

This statistic provides a concrete, alarming parallel to the Roman Empire's monetary collapse, making the historical lesson immediately relevant and impactful for understanding contemporary economic challenges.

The discussion about the Praetorian Guard acting as a 'shadow government' in Rome, making and unmaking emperors based on their own political positioning.

This historical detail offers a powerful analogy for modern concerns about unelected bodies or 'deep state' actors influencing or controlling government, highlighting the fragility of power structures.

The anecdote about Emperor Elagabalus (early 220s AD) and his extreme perversions, including marrying a vestal virgin and pushing the Senate to have orgies.

This illustrates the extreme moral and societal decay that can occur during periods of decline, drawing a parallel to modern 'woke' culture and 'perversions' discussed by the host, suggesting a cyclical nature to societal mores.

Quotes

"

"It's not that the prices are going up is your dollar go as far."

Jeremy Ryan Slate
"

"Most people don't understand money and most world leaders are elected because of popularity, not because of of their ability to run the country."

Epstein (as quoted by host)
"

"The thing that they did differently is they didn't take their natural-born son and make the next emperor because that had gotten you a whole mixed bag of emperors."

Jeremy Ryan Slate
"

"The person that fixes it, if they did, isn't going to be very popular because we'd have to deal with what we've done."

Jeremy Ryan Slate

Q&A

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