Ray McGovern: The Way a Long Iran War Destroys Israel and the Entire GCC
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Summary
Takeaways
- ❖Iranian parliamentary speaker Alibab stated that US decisions are based on 'false information from Israel,' indicating an 'Israel first' policy over 'America first.'
- ❖US Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly admitted that the US knew of an impending Israeli action against Iran and preemptively attacked Iranian forces to mitigate US casualties.
- ❖Joe Kent, a former deputy to Tulsi Gabbard, resigned on principle, stating that the US started the war with Iran due to pressure from Israel and its lobby, and that Israel must be restrained for any peace deal to work.
- ❖Public opinion in the US shows a significant increase in unfavorable views towards Israel (60%) and Netanyahu (59%), particularly among younger voters.
- ❖Somalia banned Israeli ships from passing through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, signaling a loss of US allies.
- ❖NATO is considered 'over' due to internal divisions and a perceived lack of US reliability under Trump.
- ❖Russia and China are strongly allied and support Iran, potentially intervening if Iran is pushed too far.
- ❖Tucker Carlson and other former Trump supporters are expressing regret and disillusionment with Trump's foreign policy, citing a betrayal of 'America First' principles.
- ❖Speculation exists that Netanyahu possesses compromising 'Epstein tapes' involving Trump, which could explain Trump's strong pro-Israel stance.
- ❖Russia is seen as 'inexorably winning' in Ukraine and is using the conflict to push for a new security architecture in Europe.
Insights
1US Policy Driven by Israeli Interests
The guest, Ray McGovern, emphasizes that Israel is the primary force dictating US foreign policy in the Middle East, leading to the current conflict with Iran. He cites the Iranian parliamentary speaker's direct accusation and Marco Rubio's alleged statement about knowing of an Israeli action and the US preemptively attacking Iran.
The Iranian parliamentary speaker, Alibab, stated: "The US government claims that quote America first end quote is the most important thing to it. But in practice, it has shown that Israel first is what it really all about because the US government makes decisions based on false information from Israel." Ray McGovern also quotes Marco Rubio saying: "We knew there was... an Israeli action. We knew that this would precipitate an attack against Iranian forces. And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched their attacks that we would suffer higher casualties. And so we did what we did."
2High-Level Resignation Over Israeli Influence
A significant resignation occurred within the US intelligence community, with an official directly attributing the war with Iran to Israeli pressure and advocating for the cessation of military aid to Israel as a prerequisite for peace.
Joe Kent, a deputy to Tulsi Gabbard, resigned, stating: "I cannot in good conscience support the attack on Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat. We started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American Israel lobby." He further added: "For any peace agreement to work, we must first restrain Israel. Israel will thwart any peace deal unless we take away the military aid it needs to attack Iran."
3Declining US Public Support for Israel
Public sentiment in the US is increasingly turning against Israel and its leadership, which could impact future US foreign policy decisions.
A Pew poll indicates that "60% of the Americans across the board have an unfavorable idea of Israel. Now Netanyahu not so bad only 59 only 59% think Netany is a fool."
4Global Geopolitical Shift and Alliance Against US/Israel
The world's "correlation of forces" has shifted to the East, with Iran receiving strong support from Russia, China, and other BRICS countries. This alliance is not only economic but also potentially military, challenging US dominance and leading to the decline of NATO.
McGovern states: "The world correlation of forces or power it's shifted to the east... Iran is going to survive the greater Israel is not going to survive... with Russia and China together as never before and really together on Iran, they're not going to let Iran lose."
5Ukraine War as a Means to a Broader End
The conflict in Ukraine is not just about territorial gains but is a strategic play by Russia to force a renegotiation of European security arrangements, which it believes were ignored prior to the war.
McGovern asserts: "Russia is inexorably winning. Russia has the wherewithal to finish this off this year for sure. They're still attritting attritting attritting. And what does that mean? In my view, it means that they still want a bigger deal. Okay? They don't want to just beat back the Ukrainians and the NATO forces to the Nippa River... they want to leave the the thing open for a broader arrangement, a new security architecture in Europe, which is what started this whole war."
Bottom Line
Somalia banned Israeli ships from the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, indicating a growing trend of former US allies distancing themselves from Israeli interests and US policy.
This action signals a significant erosion of US influence and a shift in regional alliances, potentially leading to further isolation of Israel and increased maritime instability.
For non-aligned nations, this creates an opportunity to assert greater autonomy and align with emerging geopolitical blocs, potentially reshaping global trade routes and power dynamics.
Ray McGovern speculates that Donald Trump's unwavering pro-Israel stance is driven by fear of alleged 'Epstein tapes' held by Netanyahu, which could expose compromising personal information.
If true, this suggests a profound vulnerability in US leadership to foreign manipulation, potentially compromising national security and leading to irrational foreign policy decisions.
For geopolitical rivals, this perceived vulnerability could be exploited to further destabilize US influence and promote alternative global power structures.
Lessons
- Monitor public opinion trends regarding Israel and US foreign policy, as shifting sentiments could influence future electoral outcomes and policy changes.
- Analyze the evolving alliances between Russia, China, and Iran, and their potential impact on global energy markets and international security architecture.
- Evaluate the internal divisions within NATO and the EU, and consider the implications for collective security and the future of Western alliances.
Notable Moments
The host's breaking news that Somalia announced a ban on all Israeli ships passing through the Bab-el-Mandeb in the Red Sea.
This is presented as a significant development, indicating a rapid decline in US influence and a loss of allies in critical strategic regions, further isolating Israel.
Quotes
"The US government claims that quote America first end quote is the most important thing to it. But in practice, it has shown that Israel first is what it really all about because the US government makes decisions based on false information from Israel."
"We knew there was... an Israeli action. We knew that this would precipitate an attack against Iranian forces. And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched their attacks that we would suffer higher casualties. And so we did what we did."
"I cannot in good conscience support the attack on Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat. We started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American Israel lobby."
"For any peace agreement to work, we must first restrain Israel. Israel will thwart any peace deal unless we take away the military aid it needs to attack Iran."
"I regret helping put him back in power at the time I believed the promises I believed he stood for But looking at it now, it feels like a betrayal. I'll be tormented for a long time by the fact that I played a role in getting Trump elected. And I want to say that I'm sorry for misleading people."
"It's really Trump first, Israel second, and maybe America if they qualify."
Q&A
Recent Questions
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