Seyed M. Marandi: Iran Just DROPPED A BOMBSHELL Response to US Blockade
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Summary
Takeaways
- ❖The US initiated recent naval conflicts by striking Iranian tankers, killing sailors, according to Professor Marandi.
- ❖Iran responded to US ship strikes with drones, aiming to deter rather than cause severe damage, to avoid being seen as an aggressor.
- ❖Iran has implemented a new policy for the Strait of Hormuz, preventing ships from Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE from passing due to their involvement in the war.
- ❖The Strait of Hormuz blockade is causing a significant global crisis, with Europe facing a jet fuel shortage within six weeks.
- ❖Iran views the UAE differently from other GCC countries due to its strong alliance with Israel, threatening to treat it like northern Iraq by striking any threats originating from its territory.
- ❖Iran is prepared for an imminent major assault from the US and Israel, maintaining full alert for weeks.
- ❖Iran's post-war stature has significantly risen globally, particularly impressing China and Russia with its resilience.
- ❖Iran will not allow enriched uranium to leave its territory, rejecting US demands mirroring actions in Venezuela.
- ❖Iran's negotiation priorities are a ceasefire across the region (including Lebanon and Gaza), lifting the siege on the Strait of Hormuz, and only then discussing the nuclear program.
- ❖The US is seen as controlled by 'Zionists' who dictate policy and drag the country into war, according to Professor Marandi.
Insights
1Iran's New Strait of Hormuz Policy
Iran has permanently changed its policy regarding the Strait of Hormuz. It now restricts passage for ships from five specific countries (Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE) that participated in the war against Iran. Friendly nations like China, Russia, India, and Pakistan can still negotiate passage. This policy is a direct response to US-led blockades and attacks on Iranian tankers.
Professor Marandi states, 'It is preventing any ships from leaving ships that are from those five countries... the limitations or for pockets for sorry for Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. And it's because they fought in the war.' He later confirms, 'the policy has changed permanently. And that is that ships that go through will have to uh deal with Iranians.'
2Escalation and Iran's Preparedness for War
The US initiated recent naval conflicts by striking Iranian tankers, killing sailors. Iran responded with drones to US ships, aiming for deterrence rather than severe damage, to avoid being labeled the aggressor. Despite this, Iran believes a major US-led assault is imminent and remains on full alert, preparing for attacks on critical infrastructure and incursions by terrorist groups from northern Iraq and Pakistan.
Marandi explains, 'the United States started this... by striking tankers and they killed uh a number of sailors.' He adds, 'Iran is is is still expecting a major assault... The Americans have all their forces in position. They brought in a lot of equipment for ground operations, too.'
3Economic Fallout of Strait of Hormuz Blockade
The Iranian-imposed restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz have halted commercial shipping for certain nations, leading to significant global economic repercussions. Europe, in particular, faces a critical jet fuel shortage, with reserves estimated to last only six weeks, as the Strait is responsible for 20% of global jet fuel and crude oil supplies.
The host notes, 'in the last 24 hours not a single commercial ship passed through the state of Formos.' He cites a Wall Street Journal report: 'Europe has six weeks to... they're running out of jet fuel right now. The problem is right now because the straight of formos is responsible of to provide 20% of jet fuel.'
4Shift in Iran's Policy Towards UAE
Iran now views the UAE as distinct from other GCC countries due to its strong alliance with Israel, including an Israeli military presence and open hostility towards Iran. Consequently, Iran's policy towards the UAE has changed, with Iran stating it will treat the UAE similarly to northern Iraq, implying potential retaliatory strikes against any perceived threats originating from UAE territory.
Marandi states, 'the Iranians did consider the UAE to be different from the others. More it had more uh a closer alliance with the Israeli regime.' He adds, 'the Iranian policy towards the Emirates has changed. And Iran is is saying that it's going to start treating the Emirates like it treats northern Iraq.'
5Strengthening Alliance of Iran, Russia, and China
The US's aggressive actions and 'unipolar moment' have inadvertently strengthened the alliance between Iran, Russia, and China. These nations, now stronger and increasingly targeted by the US, see Iran as a resilient and capable partner, leading to increased cooperation and a shared interest in countering US influence.
Marandi notes, 'the United States has antagonized both of them so the Americans have created all the incentives necessary for much better relations between these countries.' He also mentions, 'the Chinese said that the stature of Iran world has risen significantly after the war.'
Lessons
- Businesses reliant on global shipping or energy supply chains should re-evaluate their risk exposure and contingency plans, especially concerning the Strait of Hormuz.
- Policymakers and analysts should recognize Iran's new, assertive stance on controlling the Strait of Hormuz as a permanent geopolitical shift, not a temporary measure.
- Investors should consider the long-term implications of increased instability in the Persian Gulf and the strengthening of the Iran-Russia-China axis on global markets and resource availability.
Quotes
"So the Americans were trying to carry out this um um this operation to uh to get ships to go through the these ships to go through the straight. They failed. I think that's in itself uh evidence of failure."
"Iran is is is still expecting a major assault. And of course, they've been expecting it for quite a while now."
"The west does not comprehend Iran at all. Iran is the opposite of, you know, does the opposite of what they calculate in in when they speak with with other countries..."
"Iran will control the Strait of Hormos and it's finished. It's over. And Iran wants a security structure for or architecture for the region for the Persian Gulf region where the United States can no longer be a threat..."
"United States is not controlled by the American people. the United States is controlled by the Zionists and the very fact that they dictate who sits at the negotiating table... I think just shows that the United States is is an occupied country."
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