Interviews 02
Interviews 02
March 5, 2026

Richard Wolff & Michael Hudson: Oil Prices SKYROCKET w/ Persian Gulf Blockade –Who Gets Hit Hardest?

Quick Read

Economists Michael Hudson and Richard Wolff argue that the US and Israel initiated war with Iran to prevent a peace deal, secure oil control, and maintain dollar hegemony, inadvertently destabilizing global energy markets and accelerating the decline of the American empire.
The war in Iran was a preemptive strike to prevent a peace deal that would expose US/Israeli justifications.
Iran's retaliation against US bases and LNG refineries caused a 20% jump in European gas prices.
The US military budget is projected to hit $1.5 trillion, exacerbating national debt and risking social program cuts.

Summary

Michael Hudson and Richard Wolff contend that the recent war in the Middle East, particularly the US and Israeli attack on Iran, was a preemptive strike to prevent Iran from reaching a peace agreement that would expose the 'weapons of mass destruction' lie used to justify intervention. They assert the true motive is regime change to control Iran's oil and maintain the dollar's global dominance by ensuring oil is priced in USD and petrodollars are recycled into US assets. Iran's retaliation, including striking US bases and LNG refineries, has caused a significant spike in global gas prices, impacting US allies in Europe and Asia. Richard Wolff draws parallels to historical settler colonialism and past US interventions in Iran (e.g., 1953 coup), arguing that current US actions are desperate attempts by a declining empire to slow its fall, despite the immense financial strain of escalating military budgets and national debt. Both speakers highlight the emergence of a multipolar world, with countries like Spain beginning to distance themselves from US foreign policy and align with the growing economic power of China, Russia, and Iran.
This analysis challenges mainstream narratives on US foreign policy, revealing how geopolitical conflicts are intricately linked to economic control, particularly over global energy markets and currency dominance. It highlights the potential for US actions to inadvertently harm its allies and accelerate its own decline, forcing a re-evaluation of global alliances and economic structures. For businesses and policymakers, understanding these underlying motivations and consequences is critical for navigating volatile energy markets, assessing geopolitical risks, and anticipating shifts in global power dynamics.

Takeaways

  • The US and Israel initiated war with Iran to prevent a peace agreement that would expose the 'atom bomb' pretext and enable regime change for oil control.
  • Iran retaliated by attacking US military bases in neighboring countries and blowing up LNG refineries, causing a 20% jump in European gas prices and significant stock market plunges in Asia.
  • US foreign policy, since 1974, has aimed to ensure oil-exporting nations price oil in dollars and invest their savings in US assets, a system now challenged by countries like Venezuela, Russia, and Iran.
  • Richard Wolff frames Israel's role as the US military arm in the Middle East, facilitating settler colonialism and suppressing regional sovereignty.
  • The US military budget is projected to increase to $1.5 trillion, adding immense strain to the national debt and potentially leading to cuts in domestic social programs.
  • The speakers argue that US actions are desperate attempts by a declining empire, leading to a 'world war' for oil control that alienates allies and strengthens the non-dollar aligned global south.
  • Historically, the Iranian clergy has led popular revolts against foreign economic control (e.g., tobacco monopoly, British-backed Shah), indicating a strong internal resistance capacity.

Insights

1Preemptive War to Prevent Peace and Secure Oil

Michael Hudson argues that the US and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran to prevent an imminent peace agreement where Iran would significantly curb its uranium enrichment. This agreement would have exposed the US/Israeli narrative that Iran was pursuing an atomic bomb, which was the stated justification for military action. The true aim, according to Hudson, was regime change to control Iran's oil resources.

Iran has made unprecedented agreements with to surrender to the American position in order to avoid war... that would have destroyed the whole lie that justified the American attack on Iran. The real aim never was to stop Iran from having an atom bomb because Iran never was running the policy of getting an atom bomb. The immediate aim was exactly what Donald Trump has said. It was regime change. We want a regime change.

2Iran's Retaliation and Global Energy Market Destabilization

Iran responded to the attacks by targeting US military bases in allied Arab countries and blowing up LNG refineries in Bahrain and other nations. This retaliation immediately caused a 20% surge in European gas prices and significant stock market drops in countries like Korea, demonstrating the global economic impact of the conflict.

Iran followed up by blowing up the gas refineries... Within one day, the price of gas in Europe jumped 20%... And yesterday the Korean stock market plunged by almost 80 80%.

3US Foreign Policy: Maintaining Dollar Hegemony Through Oil Control

Hudson asserts that US foreign policy since 1974 has centered on controlling the world's oil trade. This involves ensuring OPEC countries price oil in dollars and deposit their surplus earnings in US banks and securities, thereby buttressing the dollar's global role. US interventions in Iraq, Libya, Syria, Venezuela, and Ukraine are framed as efforts to prevent countries from de-dollarizing their oil trade.

Saudi Arabia and the other OPEC countries made in 1974 that they were told they can charge whatever they want for their oil, but they have to price their oil in dollars and they have to keep all of the savings from their oil exports in the United States. Venezuela said, 'We're going to begin pricing Venezuelan oil in Chinese currency...'

4Israel as US Military Proxy and the Failure of Settler Colonialism

Richard Wolff describes Israel's role as the US's 'landed aircraft carrier' and military arm in the Middle East, tasked with preventing regional sovereignty that challenges US interests. He argues that Israel's settler colonialism project is historically outdated in an anti-colonial era, leading to more desperate and horrific actions.

Israel's our landed aircraft carrier there to make sure that there's no regime that's going to emerge that breaks the basic agreement... Israel is trying to undertake what is called in history settler colonialism... the settler colonialism that you could undertake and achieve then is a completely different proposition now.

5US Imperial Decline and Domestic Economic Strain

Both speakers contend that current US foreign policy, particularly military interventions, reflects a desperate attempt to slow the decline of the American empire. Richard Wolff highlights the domestic economic unsustainability, pointing to a military budget projected to reach $1.5 trillion, a national debt exceeding 120% of GDP, and shrinking international willingness to buy US debt, which will necessitate higher interest rates or cuts to social programs.

This is the policy of a dying empire. Our current budget for war... is about $900 billion... Mr. Trump indicated he wanted to increase that in next year's budget to $1.5 trillion. Our debt crossed 120% of our GDP which is usually a warning sign that you got a problem here.

Bottom Line

The US is actively promoting ethnic separatism within Iran, specifically encouraging Kurdish groups, as a proxy strategy, mirroring 'die to the last Ukrainian' rhetoric.

So What?

This reveals a deeper, more destabilizing tactic beyond direct military confrontation, aiming to fragment nations from within.

Impact

For regional powers, understanding this tactic is crucial for developing counter-strategies to maintain national cohesion against external manipulation.

The historical role of the Iranian clergy in leading popular revolts against foreign economic control (e.g., British tobacco monopoly, the Shah's dictatorship) provides a unique and enduring source of national resistance.

So What?

This suggests that external attempts at regime change or economic subjugation in Iran face a deeply rooted, religiously-mobilized opposition that has historically proven effective.

Impact

Any foreign policy approach towards Iran must account for this historical precedent and the clergy's influence, as underestimating it could lead to significant miscalculations.

Lessons

  • Monitor global energy markets closely for volatility, especially LNG and oil prices, as geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East directly impact supply chains and pricing.
  • Evaluate the long-term sustainability of alliances and trade relationships, considering the potential for US foreign policy to destabilize its own allies and accelerate a shift towards non-dollar-denominated trade blocs.
  • Assess the financial implications of escalating military expenditures and national debt in major global powers, as this could lead to increased interest rates, inflation, or cuts to social programs, impacting global economic stability.

Quotes

"

"The real aim never was to stop Iran from having an atom bomb because Iran never was running the policy of getting an atom bomb. The immediate aim was exactly what Donald Trump has said. It was regime change. We want a regime change."

Michael Hudson
"

"Israel's our landed aircraft carrier there to make sure that there's no regime that's going to emerge that breaks the basic agreement that Saudi Arabia and the other OPEC countries made in 1974 that they were told they can charge whatever they want for their oil, but they have to price their oil in dollars and they have to keep all of the savings from their oil exports in the United States."

Michael Hudson
"

"America has become the very threat that it's been promising to protect other countries against. That's the irony of all this."

Michael Hudson

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