π¨ BREAKING: Iran Government Plane Flies To Moscow - Assassination Attempt On IRGC Prosecutor
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- βAn Iranian government plane conducted an emergency, unannounced flight from Tehran to Moscow, landing after approximately three hours.
- βSpeculation suggests Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, might have been on the emergency flight to Moscow.
- βA drone attack targeted the residence of an IRGC prosecutor in Karaj, but the prosecutor reportedly survived, leading to speculation of an amateur operation.
- βUS President Trump indicated that initial military strikes against Iran would target nuclear facilities and ballistic missile programs, not just IRGC targets.
- βThe US deployed an MC-130J Commando II special operations aircraft to Azerbaijan, capable of infiltration and exfiltration, hinting at potential ground operations.
- βEight US destroyers and an aircraft carrier are now positioned in the Middle East, representing a significant military presence with offensive and defensive capabilities.
- βIran's economy is in a severe state of collapse, experiencing a banking crisis, currency devaluation, and a cash crunch, with banks limiting or halting withdrawals.
- βIranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi made urgent phone calls to various regional countries (Qatar, Egypt, UAE, Pakistan, Oman, Turkey), interpreted as "begging" for support or mediation.
- βUS F-35A fighter jets from the Vermont Air National Guard are en route to the Middle East, further increasing US air power.
- βThe host assesses that military action against Iran is highly likely and could occur 'any night' within the next few days or week.
Insights
1Emergency Iranian Flight to Moscow Signals High-Level Crisis
An unannounced, last-minute flight by an Iranian government plane (Mirage Airlines) from Tehran to Moscow suggests an urgent, high-stakes diplomatic or security mission. Speculation centers on Ali Larijani, a top security official, being on board.
An unplanned last minute flight from Tehran to Moscow... around 6 PM UK time... Mirage Airlines of the Iranian government official government plane. Some speculations as to who might be on the plane... could potentially be the secretary of the National Security Council, Ali Larijani.
2US Military Strategy Targets Iran's Nuclear and Missile Programs First
President Trump's administration has concluded that air strikes on IRGC alone are insufficient for regime change. The first phase of attacks is expected to focus on crippling Iran's nuclear facilities and ballistic missile capabilities, particularly to neutralize threats against Israel.
President Trump made the announcement earlier... that the air strikes on the IRGC would not be enough... first wave of attacks will be on the nuclear facilities as well as the ballistic missiles... to paralyze that in case the Islamic Republic plan to do any sort of attack on the state of Israel.
3US Deploys Special Operations Aircraft and Naval Assets to Region
The US has deployed an MC-130J Commando II aircraft, specialized for infiltration and exfiltration, to Azerbaijan, along with eight destroyers and an aircraft carrier to the Middle East. This indicates preparations for complex military operations, including potential special forces missions and significant offensive/defensive naval power.
The United States have just flew the MC 130J... Commando 2 aircraft... from the UK to Azerbaijan... developed for infiltration and exfiltration... eight US destroyers as well as an aircraft carrier are now positioned in the Middle East.
4Iran's Economy in Collapse Amidst Political Turmoil
Iran is facing a severe economic and financial collapse, characterized by a banking crisis, currency devaluation, and a cash crunch. Banks have imposed withdrawal limits and are struggling to provide customers with their money, exacerbating internal instability.
Iran is collapsing as a country economically, financially... Banks at this point, you could probably call this a banking crash... their own currency collapsed. Now the banks are struggling with the cash crunch... imposed a limit which was about 30 million rial per customer... they're just not giving people their money.
Bottom Line
The survival of the IRGC prosecutor after a drone attack suggests the involvement of less professional actors, possibly Iranian activists, rather than highly skilled operatives like Mossad.
This indicates a growing internal resistance capability within Iran, even if currently less effective than state-sponsored operations, which could complicate the regime's internal security.
External forces could potentially leverage or support these nascent internal resistance movements to further destabilize the regime, though with inherent risks of unintended consequences.
Iran's foreign minister making urgent phone calls to a diverse group of regional countries (Qatar, Egypt, UAE, Pakistan, Oman, Turkey) is interpreted as "begging" for mediation or support.
This highlights Iran's diplomatic isolation and desperation in the face of imminent military threat, suggesting a lack of strong, unified regional allies.
This diplomatic weakness could be exploited by the US and its allies to further isolate Iran and prevent any regional coalition from forming to counter potential military action.
Quotes
"When President Trump speaks, he means business and we are reestablishing deterrence."
"You can't last against the American Empire, but they will try their best to do as much damage as possible, not necessarily to the American troops, but to Israel, because their main aim is to wipe out the Jewish nation."
Q&A
Recent Questions
Related Episodes

Col. Larry Wilkerson: Trump Caves Under Pressure β Iranβs Capabilities Now Bigger Than Ever
"Col. Larry Wilkerson asserts that US-Iran tensions are primarily a dangerous bluff by Trump, heavily influenced by Israel's destabilizing agenda, while the Ukraine war serves US interests to cripple Russia, ultimately benefiting China."

Trump BEGS For HUMILIATING CEASEFIRE With Iran
"As US-Iran tensions escalate, the hosts dissect Trump's contradictory public statements on a potential ceasefire, expose the dubious nature of peace proposals, and reveal critical military and political developments that signal a deepening conflict."

Col. Jacques Baud: What a US Ground Invasion of Iran Would REALLY Look Like
"Colonel Jacques Baud dissects the strategic futility of a US ground invasion of Iran, arguing that current troop levels are insufficient and such an action would backfire, exposing US allies and potentially leading to Iran's nuclearization."

Col. Jacques Baud: Iran Goes All In -This Could Be the EUβs Biggest Blunder Yet
"Colonel Jacques Baud exposes the EU's extrajudicial sanctions against him and dissects the West's irrational, objective-less approach to Iran, revealing Europe's diminished geopolitical standing and its role in sabotaging peace efforts."