Glenn Diesen: US Hegemonic World Order Is OVER

The current conflict with Iran is not just about regime change but potentially the destruction or balkanization of the country. This existential threat explains Iran's predicted response of closing the Strait of Hormuz and attacking US bases, escalating the conflict significantly.

When everyone speaks of regime change, there is no replacement government in the rear which can simply be put in with legitimacy. So either this would have to be Shah 2.0 or the country would then just disintegrate into civil war. Once Iran sees this as an existential threat, it shouldn't be any surprise that it reacts in this way.

The 'Iran war' has major implications for the Ukraine conflict, which was already struggling with manpower, weapon, and economic shortages. The new conflict further diverts US weapons and resources, exacerbating Europe's energy crisis and pushing it towards economic meltdown, making it difficult to sustain support for Ukraine.

The Ukraine war was already going very poorly... now of course with the Iran war also entering then there's even less weapons coming from the US and the Europeans they are well the energy prices are now going from bad to worse and they're preparing themselves for complete economic meltdown.

While China doesn't want disruptions to its oil supply from Iran, a US failure in the region could be strategically beneficial. If the US is no longer a key security provider in the Middle East, it could undermine the petrodollar's foundation, potentially impacting the US AI tech bubble and benefiting China in the AI competition.

If the United States now fails in this war... if the US is no longer a key security provider in the Middle East... some of the foundation of the petrodollar goes away. Why would they still then trade only in dollars... what would happen with the AI tech bubble, which is in direct competition in the AI competition with the Chinese?

The world is witnessing the end of the US hegemonic era, established after the Cold War, and a transition to multipolarity. The US's attempts to maintain dominance by keeping other powers down have led to exhaustion and prompted nations like those in BRICS to collaborate to balance US hegemonic aspirations.

We're living in a very historical time. We're seeing the end of the hegemonic era which was established after the cold war and we're now seeing this transition into multiparity... other centers of power would then figure out that they have to work together to balance the US. So you see institutions such as BRICS...

The US is making a strategic mistake by remaining deeply involved in Europe and the Middle East, as these engagements absorb American resources and push Russia and Iran closer to China. This contradicts the US national security strategy to pivot focus and resources to East Asia, where its peer competitor (China) resides, and creates a divergence of interests with allies like Israel.

The longer he remains in Europe that absorbs American resources but it also pushes the Russians further to China and also in the Middle East. The longer it stays in Iran, the more it's going to divert its focus away from East Asia. Indeed, the US had to pull out its THAAD missiles and Patriots from South Korea to send to the Middle East. The whole point of pivoting to Asia was that it was supposed to go the other way.