Trump's War RUNS into TROUBLE in Senate + SCOTUS Shock Move?!?! | It's Complicated

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Quick Read

This episode dissects the Trump administration's legal maneuvers to circumvent the War Powers Resolution regarding military actions in Iran and the Supreme Court's re-engagement with the legality of Mifepristone access.
Trump administration used 'ceasefires' and 'separate projects' to avoid the 60-day War Powers clock for Iran actions.
The definition of 'hostilities' in the War Powers Resolution has been historically manipulated by presidents.
The Supreme Court is again reviewing Mifepristone access, with legal standing and political timing as key factors.

Summary

The podcast analyzes two complex legal issues: the Trump administration's efforts to bypass the War Powers Resolution concerning military actions against Iran, and the Supreme Court's renewed involvement in the debate over access to Mifepristone. Regarding Iran, the hosts detail how the administration declared 'ceasefires' and 'separate projects' (like 'Project Freedom') to reset the 60-day clock requiring Congressional authorization for military engagement, despite ongoing hostilities. They discuss the historical reinterpretation of 'hostilities' and presidential deference in declaring war, drawing parallels to the Civil War's 'Prize Cases.' On Mifepristone, the discussion centers on the Fifth Circuit's attempt to ban the drug and the Supreme Court's temporary stay, examining the legal standing arguments (Medicaid costs, undermining state laws) and potential political motivations behind the court's handling of the case.
Understanding these legal battles is crucial for comprehending the balance of power between the executive and legislative branches in matters of war, and the ongoing judicial impact on reproductive rights. The administration's tactics regarding the War Powers Resolution set a precedent for future presidential actions, potentially eroding congressional oversight. Similarly, the Supreme Court's decisions on Mifepristone will significantly shape healthcare access for women nationwide, demonstrating how legal interpretations can have profound practical consequences beyond technical legality.

Takeaways

  • The Trump administration attempted to circumvent the War Powers Resolution's 60-day authorization clock by declaring 'ceasefires' and labeling ongoing conflicts as 'separate projects' like 'Project Freedom'.
  • The War Powers Resolution, enacted post-Vietnam, requires presidential consultation with Congress before war and withdrawal of forces within 60 days without authorization.
  • Previous administrations, including Obama's, have narrowly interpreted 'hostilities' to avoid triggering the 60-day clock, often excluding air power or situations without 'boots on the ground'.
  • The Supreme Court is reviewing a Fifth Circuit decision that sought to ban Mifepristone, with legal standing arguments centered on Medicaid costs and states' rights to ban abortion.
  • The concept of presidential deference, established in cases like the Civil War's 'Prize Cases,' allows the president significant power to define the 'state of affairs' regarding war, even when objective facts contradict it.
  • The lack of congressional pushback against executive overreach in war powers is attributed to political factors, such as upcoming midterms and a perceived waning of presidential power.

Insights

1Circumventing the War Powers Resolution

The Trump administration employed unique legal interpretations to avoid the War Powers Resolution's 60-day deadline for congressional authorization of military action. This involved declaring a 'two-week ceasefire' in Iran, which was then extended, and claiming that 'hostilities have terminated' to reset the clock. Simultaneously, ongoing military engagements, such as sinking Iranian boats and shooting down missiles, were labeled 'Project Freedom,' a 'separate and distinct project' from the 'wider Iran war' that was supposedly under ceasefire.

On May 1st, Trump sent a letter to Senator Grassley stating a two-week ceasefire ordered on April 7th had been extended and 'hostilities... have terminated.' Three days later, US forces sank six Iranian boats and shot down missiles, which Hegathth called 'Project Freedom,' distinct from the 'wider Iran war.'

2Historical Reinterpretation of 'Hostilities'

The War Powers Resolution requires presidential notification within 48 hours and withdrawal of forces within 60 days if 'introduced into hostilities' without congressional authorization. However, presidents of both parties have historically interpreted 'hostilities' very narrowly to avoid triggering the 60-day clock. For example, the Obama administration argued that air power without 'boots on the ground' and without risk of casualties did not constitute 'hostilities.' The Trump administration, facing actual casualties, shifted to claiming hostilities had 'ceased' or were part of a 'separate' conflict.

Asha Rangapa notes that 'shenanigans have been going on well before Trump' with presidents interpreting 'hostilities' narrowly. President Obama's legal adviser, Harold Co, argued that air power without boots on the ground or risk of casualties did not involve 'hostilities' in Libya. The Trump administration, with 13 service members killed, cannot use this narrow definition and instead claims hostilities have 'ceased'.

3Presidential Deference and the 'Prize Cases'

The Supreme Court's 'Prize Cases' from the Civil War established the principle of presidential deference, allowing the president to declare the 'state of affairs' regarding war. In the context of the Civil War blockade, the Court reasoned that the existence of the blockade itself was evidence of a state of war, legitimizing Lincoln's actions without a congressional declaration. This precedent grants the president significant power to articulate whether the nation is at war, even if objective facts suggest otherwise, thereby impacting the application of the War Powers Resolution.

The 'Prize Cases' from the Civil War involved Lincoln instituting a naval blockade without congressional declaration of war. The Supreme Court ruled that 'it is up to the president to say whether we're at war,' and the blockade's existence was 'itself evidence that a state of war exists.'

4SCOTUS Re-engages on Mifepristone Access

The Supreme Court is once again reviewing access to Mifepristone, the abortion pill, after the Fifth Circuit attempted to ban it. This new case, filed by the state of Louisiana, argues that the FDA's approval was based on flawed data and that mail-order dispensing violates the Administrative Procedures Act, undermining state abortion bans. Justice Alito granted a temporary one-week stay, allowing continued access while the Court decides whether to uphold the Fifth Circuit's injunction.

The case is filed in Louisiana by the state, suing the FDA, arguing its approval of Mifepristone was 'based on flawed data' and mail dispensing 'violates the administrative procedures act.' Justice Alito granted a one-week stay, with a decision expected on May 11th.

5Questionable Standing Arguments in Mifepristone Case

The legal standing of the states in the Mifepristone case is a contentious point. The primary argument for standing is that the availability of Mifepristone increases Medicaid costs for states due to complications. Additionally, Louisiana argues that allowing access via telehealth and mail undermines its state laws banning abortion. These theories are considered 'aggressive' and could significantly broaden the scope of standing for states to challenge federal regulations.

Renato Mariotti states, 'the standing that the states have is like a pretty aggressive theory,' citing their argument that Mifepristone 'raises Medicaid costs for us.' Asha Rangapa adds that Louisiana also argues mail access 'undermines Louisiana's own laws' banning abortion.

Key Concepts

Schrödinger's War

A conceptual model used to describe the Trump administration's approach to military engagement, where the U.S. is simultaneously 'at war' and 'not at war' depending on the administration's legal interpretation and public statements, particularly regarding the War Powers Resolution's 60-day clock.

Presidential Deference (Prize Cases)

A legal principle, rooted in the Civil War's 'Prize Cases,' that grants the President significant authority to define the 'state of affairs' regarding war (e.g., whether a state of war exists). This model highlights the executive branch's power to articulate reality, even if it contradicts objective facts, impacting congressional oversight and the application of war powers.

Lessons

  • Monitor executive branch communications regarding military actions for legal justifications that redefine or segment conflicts, as these may be attempts to bypass congressional oversight.
  • Engage with organizations advocating for or against reproductive rights, as judicial decisions on medication access are highly fluid and subject to ongoing legal challenges.
  • Support legislative efforts to clarify and strengthen the War Powers Resolution to prevent executive overreach, particularly concerning the definition of 'hostilities' and the 60-day clock.

Quotes

"

"It's like Schrodinger's war. Like we're both at war and not at war at the same time. We don't know. depends on when you're observing."

Asha Rangapa
"

"It is up to the president to say whether we're at war. In other words, the president has the power to kind of articulate what the state of affairs is."

Asha Rangapa
"

"Do we need to revisit some of these very basic ideas of deference um when the executive branch is literally lying about an objective state objective facts on the ground?"

Asha Rangapa

Q&A

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