LIVE: WAR EXPLODES…US MAJOR STRIKES ON IRAN!!!
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Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖The United States launched massive strikes against Iran, hitting targets in Tehran, Sirik, Korgan, Minab, Bandar Abbas, Hormuz Island, and Asaluyeh.
- ❖US officials initially claimed targets were air defense systems, radar, and drone command in southern Iran, but the host believes the scope is much larger.
- ❖The host predicts Iran will retaliate massively, potentially closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait and activating Houthi forces.
- ❖Oil prices are projected to reach $150-$200 per barrel very soon, leading to a crashing US economy and global depression.
- ❖The host alleges that Donald Trump's decision to strike Iran was the 'worst possible decision imaginable,' driven by a desire for a 'deal' that will backfire.
- ❖Skepticism is raised about the official US account of an Apache helicopter being struck by a Shahed drone, with the host suggesting it was a 'choreographed' event to justify escalation.
- ❖Iran's military headquarters announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz for all ships, including oil tankers and commercial vessels, threatening to target any passage.
- ❖Iran's IRGC claimed to have struck two violating ships in the Strait of Hormuz and targeted the American Al Harir base in Arbil, northern Iraq, with missiles.
Insights
1US Strikes on Iran Trigger Immediate Escalation and Economic Fallout
The United States launched extensive strikes across Iran, targeting military and energy infrastructure. The host asserts these strikes are far broader than officially stated and will provoke immediate, severe Iranian retaliation, including attacks on US-affiliated ships and the closure of critical maritime chokepoints like the Bab al-Mandab Strait and the Strait of Hormuz. This is predicted to cause global oil prices to skyrocket and trigger a major economic downturn.
Ben Mayseless reports on massive US strikes in Tehran, Sirik, Korgan, Minab, Bandar Abbas, Hormuz Island, and Asaluyeh. He predicts Iran will close the Bab al-Mandab Strait and activate Houthis, leading to oil prices of $150-$200 per barrel. Iran's military headquarters later confirmed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz for all ships. [], [], [], []
2Official Narrative of Apache Incident Questioned as 'Choreographed'
The host expresses profound skepticism regarding the official US account of an Apache helicopter being struck by a Shahed drone in the Strait of Hormuz. He highlights inconsistencies in the story, such as a large drone lodging between pilots without exploding, and pilots miraculously crash-landing safely. He suggests this incident was a 'choreographed' event, potentially used as a pretext for the US strikes, aligning with previous statements by Donald Trump about needing US casualties to justify war.
The host details the official story: an Apache flying low was struck by a Shahed drone (described as the size of a van/car) that lodged between the two pilots, didn't explode, and allowed the pilots to crash-land and survive. He questions the physics and plausibility, noting Trump's prior comments about needing troops targeted to re-enter the war. [], [], [], []
3Incompetent US Leadership Blamed for Catastrophic Escalation
The host attributes the escalating conflict and its predicted dire consequences to the 'dumbest, worst' decision-making of the Trump administration. He criticizes the public telegraphing of strikes and the perceived lack of strategic foresight, arguing that such actions will not lead to negotiations but rather intensify the conflict and destabilize the global economy. He characterizes the leadership as 'idiots' and 'war criminals' who are driving the country into a 'hellscape'.
Mayseless states, 'Donald Trump probably just made, of all decisions to make, the worst possible decision imaginable.' He calls Trump's decision-making 'the dumbest, worst that there is' and criticizes figures like Pete Hegseth for 'telegraphing' the strikes. [], [], [], []
Bottom Line
The host predicts that Iranian retaliation will specifically target US-affiliated ships trapped in the Strait of Hormuz and activate Houthi forces to shut down the Bab al-Mandab Strait, effectively closing both critical waterways.
This dual closure would severely disrupt global oil and shipping routes, leading to unprecedented energy price spikes and supply chain chaos, impacting economies worldwide far beyond the immediate conflict zone.
Investors could consider hedging against oil price volatility or exploring investments in alternative energy sources and logistics solutions that are less dependent on these chokepoints. Businesses reliant on global shipping should immediately assess and diversify their supply chain risks.
The host suggests the US Apache helicopter incident in the Strait of Hormuz, cited as justification for strikes, was a 'choreographed' event due to its implausible details (e.g., large drone lodging without exploding, miraculous pilot survival).
If true, this implies a deliberate fabrication of a casus belli, undermining public trust in official narratives and suggesting a deeper, pre-meditated intent for escalation, potentially for political gain or to fulfill a pre-existing agenda.
This perspective encourages critical media consumption and independent verification of official government statements during times of conflict. For analysts, it highlights the importance of scrutinizing initial reports for inconsistencies and considering geopolitical motivations beyond stated reasons.
Key Concepts
The Escalatory Trap
The host repeatedly refers to the current conflict as an 'escalatory trap,' a situation where military actions by one side inevitably lead to increasingly severe counter-actions by the other, spiraling into a larger, more destructive conflict. He argues that the US strikes are precisely what was warned about, leading to an uncontrollable cycle of retaliation.
Ponzi Scheme (Political/Strategic)
The host likens Donald Trump's diplomatic and strategic approach to a 'Ponzi scheme,' suggesting that his claims of being 'close to a deal' with Iran were deceptive and unsustainable. Just as a financial Ponzi scheme eventually collapses, Trump's approach is seen as leading to an inevitable 'bankruptcy' in foreign policy, resulting in catastrophic outcomes when the 'rubber hits the road'.
Lessons
- Monitor global oil prices closely, as the host predicts a rapid surge to $150-$200 per barrel due to Middle East instability.
- Assess the stability of global shipping routes, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab, and consider alternative logistics if reliant on these areas.
- Critically evaluate official government narratives during geopolitical conflicts, especially when details appear inconsistent or implausible, as suggested by the host regarding the Apache incident.
Notable Moments
Report of massive US strikes against Iran, hitting multiple cities and infrastructure targets.
This marks the immediate trigger for the host's predictions of widespread retaliation and economic fallout, setting the tone for the entire episode's alarmist commentary.
The host's detailed critique and debunking of the official US narrative regarding an Apache helicopter being struck by a Shahed drone.
This moment highlights the host's strong skepticism towards government transparency and his belief that a pretext for war was manufactured, serving as a core piece of his argument against the US administration's actions.
Confirmation from Iran's military headquarters that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed for all ships, with any passage to be targeted.
This validates one of the host's key predictions about Iranian retaliation and its immediate impact on global shipping and oil markets, reinforcing his dire economic forecasts.
Quotes
"The United States has launched massive massive strikes against Iran striking in the heart of Tehran, striking in Sirik, Korgan, Minab, Bandar Abbas, Hormuz Island, Asaluyeh."
"Folks, you can expect a barrel of oil price to be in the $150 to $200 per barrel of oil very very soon and I'm not trying to be hyperbolic here, but we've seen the markets crashing. We've seen the United States economy crashing. Donald Trump probably just made, of all decisions to make, the worst possible decision imaginable."
"The story from Trump and the Trump regime, an Apache helicopter flying very low over the Strait of Hormuz was struck by a Shahed drone... That story makes no effing sense to me at all."
"Iran's military headquarters, their public relations news agency following the violations of the ceasefire, central headquarters from this moment due to the insecurity in the region, the Strait of Hormuz is declared closed for the passage of any type of vessel, including oil tankers and commercial ships and any passage will be targeted."
Q&A
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