Col. Larry Wilkerson: Trump Intelligence Pick Joe Kent QUITS - Israel Goes Nuclear Loses EVERYTHING
Quick Read
Summary
Takeaways
- ❖Joe Kent, a former MAGA loyalist, resigned from his counterterrorism role, protesting the US war on Iran, citing no imminent threat and Israeli lobby influence.
- ❖Donald Trump dismissed Kent's concerns, calling him 'weak on security' and defending the war as preventing Iranian nuclear armament, despite previously promising to end 'stupid wars'.
- ❖Col. Wilkerson asserts that Mike Johnson's defense of the Iran war is based on lies and 'end times' religious beliefs, not accurate intelligence.
- ❖European allies are largely refusing to join the US offensive against Iran, indicating a significant decline in trust and willingness to follow US foreign policy.
- ❖The US is accused of systematically hiding war casualties, with an Iranian official claiming 3200 US casualties in the first week, contrasting sharply with official figures.
- ❖Iran possesses advanced ballistic missiles and drones capable of inflicting significant damage, including hypervelocity missiles that are difficult to intercept, making a US aircraft carrier vulnerable.
- ❖Disruption of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran could send global oil prices soaring to $200 per barrel, crippling global shipping and insurance.
- ❖Col. Wilkerson suggests the US war in Iran is a geostrategic move to disrupt China's Belt and Road Initiative, particularly the route through Iran to the Caucuses.
- ❖Israel's deteriorating defense situation, facing coordinated missile attacks from Iran and Hezbollah, raises the prospect of a desperate, militarily effective nuclear strike involving multiple weapons, which would normalize nuclear warfare globally.
- ❖Many Iranian-Americans are disconnected from the current reality and strength of Iran, holding outdated views from the Shah era.
Insights
1Joe Kent's Resignation and Trump's Response
Joe Kent, Director of National Counterterrorism Center, resigned in protest against the imposed war on Iran, stating Iran posed no imminent threat and the war was due to pressure from Israel and its lobby. Donald Trump dismissed Kent as 'weak on security' and defended the war, claiming Iran was a threat and needed to be 'taken out' due to nuclear ambitions, criticizing the Iran nuclear deal.
Kent's statement (), Trump's reaction (), Wilkerson's commentary ().
2Mike Johnson's War Justification and Religious Motivations
Speaker Mike Johnson defended the war on Iran, citing 'imminent threat' from Iran's nuclear enrichment and missile capabilities, claiming mass American casualties were averted by striking first. Col. Wilkerson countered that Johnson was 'lying through his teeth' and that his true motivation stemmed from a belief in 'end times' and Armageddon, not factual intelligence.
Mike Johnson's statement (), Wilkerson's analysis ().
3European Reluctance and Declining US Trust
European nations are not willing to join the US offensive against Iran, viewing it as a 'red line.' This reluctance is attributed to Trump's past treatment of Europe and a general decline in trust in US leadership. The US military relies on NATO allies for specialized capabilities like mine-sweeping, which they are now unwilling to provide.
Host's observation (), Trump's criticism of NATO (), Wilkerson's explanation of NATO reliance () and European distrust ().
4Concealment of US Casualties and Iran's Capabilities
The US is accused of hiding casualties in the Iran conflict, with an Iranian intelligence official claiming over 3200 US casualties in the first week, vastly different from official figures. Col. Wilkerson notes a historical pattern of the US lying about war casualties. Iran's military strength lies in its ballistic missiles and drones, which have demonstrated high accuracy and pose a significant threat, including hypervelocity missiles capable of evading current defenses.
Iranian intelligence claim (), Wilkerson on US casualty concealment (), Iran's missile accuracy and hypervelocity missiles ().
5Strait of Hormuz and Global Economic Impact
The Iranian parliament speaker declared that the Strait of Hormuz situation 'won't return to its pre-war status,' indicating Iran's intent to leverage its control over the vital waterway. Disruption of shipping in the Strait could cause global oil prices (West Texas Intermediate, Brent crude) to surge to $200, leading to a breakdown in shipping and insurance, reminiscent of past oil embargoes.
Iranian parliament speaker's statement (), Wilkerson's historical context and economic forecast ().
6Israel's Nuclear Option and Global Consequences
With Israel's air defense system struggling against coordinated attacks from Iran and Hezbollah, the possibility of Israel using nuclear weapons against Iran is discussed. Col. Wilkerson suggests that a militarily effective strike would involve multiple nuclear weapons, not just one, targeting military sites. Such an act would 'let the genie out of the bottle,' normalizing nuclear warfare globally and setting a dangerous precedent.
Host's question on Israel's defense and nuclear option (), Trump's denial (), Wilkerson's analysis of a multi-weapon nuclear strike and its implications ().
7US Economic Dominance Ending and Multipolar Warfare
A Financial Times article is cited, arguing that 'the era of US dominance in economic warfare is over,' and that a multipolar economic warfare reality has emerged. Other powers, including Iran and China, can now use similar financial and economic tools in response to escalation, diminishing the effectiveness of US sanctions and financial pressure.
Host quoting Financial Times article (), Wilkerson's agreement ().
8Iran War as a Proxy for China Containment
Col. Wilkerson posits that the US war in Iran is not genuinely about Iran, but is a geostrategic move by those 'behind Donald Trump' to target China. The objective is to disrupt China's Belt and Road Initiative, specifically the crucial route running through Iran and into the Caucuses, making Iran an 'active theater' in a larger great power competition.
Wilkerson's analysis of the war's true purpose ().
Bottom Line
The US-Iran conflict is not primarily about Iran, but a proxy war aimed at disrupting China's Belt and Road Initiative, particularly its critical route through Iran to the Caucuses.
This reframes the entire conflict, suggesting that US foreign policy is driven by a larger geopolitical competition with China, using regional conflicts as indirect battlegrounds, potentially leading to miscalculations and prolonged engagements.
Analysts and policymakers should scrutinize US actions in the Middle East through the lens of great power competition, identifying potential flashpoints and unintended consequences for global trade and alliances.
Israel's increasingly desperate defense situation, coupled with advanced Iranian missile capabilities, makes the use of multiple tactical nuclear weapons a plausible, militarily 'logical' option for Netanyahu, despite its catastrophic global implications.
Such an act would 'let the genie out of the bottle,' normalizing nuclear warfare and potentially triggering a global arms race, fundamentally altering international security paradigms and increasing the risk of widespread nuclear conflict.
International bodies and major powers must urgently de-escalate the conflict and establish robust diplomatic channels to prevent a nuclear scenario, while also re-evaluating the efficacy of current missile defense systems against advanced threats.
Lessons
- Question official narratives on war casualties and threats, as governments historically conceal the true costs of conflict.
- Analyze geopolitical events through a multi-polar lens, recognizing that US actions may be driven by larger strategic competition (e.g., against China) rather than stated objectives.
- Recognize the diminishing trust in US leadership among allies and the potential for independent foreign policy decisions by European nations, impacting global security arrangements.
Quotes
"I cannot in good conscious support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation and it's clear that that we started the war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby."
"Everybody knows that Donald Trump and Joe Kent were pretty close... Trump's remarks there were just stupid."
"That's what Mike Johnson would have said if he didn't think it would be at that point politically bad to say that from the speaker's roster because that's Mike Johnson. Otherwise, it was mostly lies."
"The only thing worse than having allies is not having them."
"America's lied about its casualties in wars. We lied in Korea. We lied in Vietnam. We lied in World War II. We lied in World War I. Wilson was an inveterate liar."
"No one can trust us. That's the reality of the United States of America today."
"We take a carrier out, 5,000 Americans dead in one fell swoop. Will that make the American people change their mind about this war?"
"The era of the US dominance in economic warfare is over and is arguing this article argues that Iran's actions in this rate of hormon shows show the reality of multipolar economic warfare."
"You're at war with a country that presents no threat to the United States of America at all. And you're because of that war cancelling a meeting with the man who means everything to the security of America."
"I don't put it past BB. I don't put it past BB at all. Especially if he thinks things are getting so dire that he has to deliver a a hammer blow in order to change the correlation of forces, change the whole appearance of victory or defeat."
Q&A
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